EVs Sales In Norway Up By 43% In August, As Some Model X Volume Arrives In Europe

SEP 6 2016 BY MARK KANE 23

New plug-in passenger car registrations in Norway – August 2016

New plug-in passenger car registrations in Norway – August 2016

Tesla Model X

Tesla Model X

Norway’s plug-in electric vehicle market continues to grow, despite the huge market penetration already for electrification.

For August, an impressive 43% year-over-year growth rate was noted.

Total BEV/PHEV registrations amounted to 3,772 new passenger vehicles, which is the third best result ever.  EV market share for the month stood at 28.5%.

The majority of the plug-in sales in Norway this month came via all-electric cars, with some 2,010 worth. However this category is actually lower than last year by 7.2%, as new interest in plug-in hybrids has not only been eating into traditional petrol sales, but some all-electric ones as well.   Plug-in hybrid sales in August increased by 277% to 1,762.

Norway registrations also include 50 new and 14 used imported all-electric vans, and 494 used imported passenger BEVs.

As we forecasted over the past couple months, the “boat with the Xs” arrived late in the month, and Tesla managed to deliver its first real quantity of any consequence of the SUV into Europe, with 168 units into Norway (which was more then the rest of Europe combined for August).  Meanwhile the Model S logged 170 registrations.

The Nissan LEAF and BMW i3 also achieved respectable numbers at 318 and 293. At time of press, we don’t have the numbers fore-Golf, but the VW often leads the pack for BEV sales, while the Outlander PHEV is the undisputed king of the, well…plug-in hybrids (as its name suggests).

New plug-in passenger car registrations in Norway – August 2016

New plug-in passenger car registrations in Norway – August 2016

New plug-in passenger car registrations in Norway – August 2016

New plug-in passenger car registrations in Norway – August 2016

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23 Comments on "EVs Sales In Norway Up By 43% In August, As Some Model X Volume Arrives In Europe"

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I thought Norway was making it more difficult to purchase EVs and hybrids.

You might be thinking of Denmark.

Not at all. Norway takes EVs seriously, and subsidizes them substantially. They are continually making ICE vehicles more difficult (ie expensive) to use.

Unfortunately they do the opposite .
True, they make ices expensive to purchase, but once a norwiegen has that hurdle behind him/her, running costs are low.

Fuel prices are even a little less than in e.g. Germany. Considering norwiegens pay less taxes and have higher pay, the relative cost is very low.

The result: ice drivers in Norway often leave their engines running while parking.
In the two weeks I spent there this summer, I witnessed this more than I have in Germany in the twenty years I have been living here.

Far from it. BEVs are still 100% exempted from a one-time importation fee and 25% VAT, making sticker prices for BEVs very competitive. The one-time fee depends heavily on how much CO2 the car emits, so large and heavy cars or powerful ICE engines are much more expensive here. For instance, the e-Golf starts at 281 400 NOK, versus 266 400 NOK for the low-end Golf – and then the electric version is much better equipped. A GTI however is 439 400 NOK, and the top end R is 608 700 NOK, of which 20% is VAT and another 30-40% is the one-time fee. That’s literally what it’s called; “engangsavgift” = “en (one) gang (time) s (possessive) avgift (fee)”. In addition to these sticker-price incentives EVs go for free on toll roads, which can easily amount to a thousand bucks a year, and get free municipal parking, free ferries (a huge saving for some island dwellers) and access to bus lanes (a big time-saver in the Oslo metro area), and a 75% rebate on road tax. There is agreement that the incentives for EVs need to be rolled back, but this will happen gradually and the tax system will retain… Read more »

Though OPEC says that by 2040 only one in 16 cars sold will have a plug. I for one think their crystal ball is smeared with an oily stain.

Might be oily stains from the Deep Water Horizon Explosion, messing up their water!

Might be the Same Crystal Ball BP used to calculate the stresses on the operation at the Deep Water Horizon Platform!

1 in 16 = 1/16 = 0.0625 = 6.25% – So – I guess Norway is already into the year 2060 or so?

And Even in Canada – we will likely beat that figure of 6.25% by 2040 since – There are now more than 20,000 plug-ins in Canada (Pro-Rated to US Population, that would be equal to about 200,000 in the USA): http://www.fleetcarma.com/ev-sales-canada-2016-q1/
and
https://emc-mec.ca/new/a-total-of-20000-electric-vehicle-sold-in-canada/

Plus – Ontario is planning some 200 DC Quick Charging Points about the Province plus another 300 Level 2 Charging Points – to be installed and operational by March 31st, 2017!
See: http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/ontario-building-nearly-500-electric-vehicle-charging-stations/article30899568/
and
https://news.ontario.ca/mto/en/2016/07/electric-vehicle-charging-stations-coming-soon.html

Plus – to see the planned locations – check the Map:
http://www.mto.gov.on.ca/english/vehicles/electric/electric-vehicle-chargers-ontario.shtml

So – Rebates + Charging Access + Selection … is growing! Obviously – on the Selection aspect – California is King, but I am hearing stories about Quebec pushing for a Program Like CARB in California – to drive More EV Sales in Quebec, Canada might benefit from that generally, as well!

Also – While LEAF Sales are Tanking in the USA – Canada is still a good market for them – http://www.fleetcarma.com/ev-sales-canada-2016-half-year/

Pure corporate commodity spin. Meanwhile, the Saudi’s in particular are diversifying their economy on a massive scale.

It isn’t so much when the fossil fuels will be depleted, but when regulation and taxation discourage it’s use. That has already begun, and needs to to accelerate.

OPEC isn’t talking about Norway tho!

EV share is still coming in well below 1% globally this year. One in 16 is 6.25% or about 700% growth in relative terms in 23 years. If the total market is to grow, the absolute EV sales growth required for the OPEC prediction to come true is closer to 10x or 1000%.

That works out to about 10.8% yearly growth every year for 23 years. Which does seem far too low, even on a global basis (some markets will develop much sooner than others). Europe, the US and China are the largest markets and I believe all should see much faster growth than that – at least for the next five to ten years, while EV costs are falling fast.

But it is interesting to contemplate what it takes.

Yes, that is more along the lines of my thought. By 2040 types of cars on the road will be quite the opposite mix. Perhaps 10% pure ice, 25% phev and the rest, mostly, bev.

Within the next decade or so many will trade in their older cars and buy phevs or bevs as they improve and get less expensive. Few cars on the road today will still be being driven in 2040. So it’s all about proliferation.

Not sold… 1/16 of total fleet.

Something that Norway has not achieved yet.

They will be soon though. Certainly Norway is an outlier case, but here the exception does not prove the rule, it questions it.

Renault Z.E. = Zero Energy. The batteries die fast and the car gos to the scrapyard. This is the sad solution Renault found for the Fluence ze.

FUD

I have driven a Zoe and at the end of its three year lease and 90k km, the battery had absolutely no measurable degradation.

Model X deliveries to Norway were more than to the rest of Europe combined! Just so people can appreciate how crazy this is, be aware that there are at least six metro areas in Germany alone with a larger population than the entire country of Norway. Had there been more deliveries to for example the Hamburg metro area than to the rest of Europe, it would be slightly LESS extreme a difference than this in population terms (but obviously a lot more extreme in terms of geographical density). The populations of the metro areas of Paris and London are each about three times that of Norway. And the population of the EU is nearly 100 times that of Norway..! Why does this happen? Norway levies huge taxes on cars, and especially so on heavy cars with big engines, but exempts EVs from such taxes. Cars like the LEAF become considerably cheaper to buy and own than comparable gas cars. But for Tesla, it becomes extreme. They compete on price with cars like BMW 5-Series (except with the smallest engines, not even offered in the US) while offering hypercar performance. Even the top-end Golf is as expensive as an entry-level Model… Read more »

I think Jay said Tesla could import directly into Norway, but for Germany and other EU destinations they must first go into a “factory” in the Netherlands for “final assembly” to avoid tariffs. So don’t read too much into these early numbers.

That said, Germany’s recent “anti-Tesla” incentive scheme may also be having an effect.

Our incentives are very nice, yes indeed, but another factor is the rather low price on electricity in Norway. At the moment I pay 0.33 NOK pr Kw. Todays NOK/USD Exchange rate is 8.18.
0.33 : 8.18 = 0.0403 USD/Kw.

what is full price with grid cost?

Electricity prices has some seasonal variations, but typical price for me is 9,2cent/kWh. This is 100% renewable electricity and includes 3,9 cent taxes, 2,5 cent grid fee and 2,8 cent energy cost.
Additionally i pay a flat $12 monthly grid connection fee.

Typical fuel prices in Norway:
diesel: $1,47/liter or $5,56/gallon
gasoline: $1,63/litre or $6,17/gallon
DC 50kW Fast charging: $0,31/minute With no startup fee. This price require you to register as a customer for fre and accept electronically billing. For non-registered customers $0,37

I’m wondering when BEVs will influence fuel consumption in Norway?

Do you guys have some idea when this can happen?

Hard to say, but two of the major gas station companys, Cirkle K and Shell has already announced that they see themselves as energy stations providing energy, accessories and facilities to people on the road. They pointed out they are not limited to hydrocarbons and are installing fast chargers an many of their stations now.

And few days ago an organisation presented their research and claimed we should cut our fuel taxes and transfer them to gps-based driving tax. That would mean cars with high fuel consumption would pay less and cars with low or no fuel consumption would pay more. Now what kind of organisation would launch such kind of campaign that is likely to increase fuel consumption?

Yes, the petroleum companys own organisation, Norwegian Petroleum Institute.

So something is clearly starting to happen…