EV Market Share In The US Nearly Hits 1% In November – Graphs

11 months ago by Mark Kane 17

U.S. Plug-in car sales – November 2016

U.S. Plug-in car sales – November 2016

Plug-in electric vehicle sales in U.S. grew by a solid 32.4%, counting 13,337 deliveries (full details), while year-over year growth has now reached 14 consecutive months*.

November’s result translated to a 0.97% market share (see graph below) – historically one of the best showings.

Also of note, full year sales for the US are up 31% for 2016 year-to-date, while over the past 6 months the rate of growth has accelerated to 44%.

U.S. Plug-in car sales – November 2016

U.S. Plug-in car sales – November 2016

The big star of the month was Chevrolet Volt, which with 2,531 sales (up 28% year-over-year) set also best result since August 2013 5(3,351)!

Chevy Volt sales hit record high for the 2ng gen model in November (Photo by Steve Fecht for Chevrolet)

Chevy Volt sales hit record high for the 2ng gen model in November (Photo by Steve Fecht for Chevrolet)

Separately, Ford lead all manufacturers for most plug-in sold in the month with 2,604 delivered – the Ford Fusion Energi specifically made up 1,817 of those sales (up 92% year-over-year), achieving its 2nd best ever result (June 2014 – 1,939)!

And there is new Toyota Prius Prime – which sold 781 copies despite only arriving mid-month – best result since August 2014 for Toyota Prius PHV (851), and the best debut for any new plug-in product. Ever.

Looking ahead, and given what we already know of the December selling season (which sees the arrival of the Chevrolet Bolt EV, soaring Tesla deliveries and a full month of the Prius Prime), we foresee the US EV market’s first 20,000+ sales month, and with it, a likely all-time high for plug-in vehicle market share at around 1.5%

Chevrolet Volt sales – November 2016

Chevrolet Volt sales – November 2016

U.S. Plug-in car sales – November 2016

U.S. Plug-in car sales – November 2016

*On year of monthly sales improvements: We know someone is going to look at the chart and say, “hey, only ~11,447 sales were made in May of 2016, when 11,540 were logged in 2015!  What gives InsideEVs?”  What gives is – through an odd scheduling quirk, only 24 selling days were reported in May 2016 (versus 26 in 2015)

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17 responses to "EV Market Share In The US Nearly Hits 1% In November – Graphs"

  1. TM says:

    Mark, Assuming the 20,000 figure is achieved for December, what would the overall Market Share be for 2016?

    1. Jay Cole says:

      Obviously, I’m not Mark, but I’ll offer a number nonetheless.

      20k in December would net ~154k plug-in sales for the year, and ~17.25 M overall for the industry in 2016 … so ~.89.2%

      1. TM says:

        Thanks. That is not a bad number. I figure of 7 million I saw seemed to be cars only. Would that mean then that the LDV split would be 7 mil cars and 10 mil trucks and other non-passenger cars?

        We sure have a long way to go.

        1. Jay Cole says:

          For sure the PEV vs cars split is much higher, but you’d have to split the numbers down some.

          Recent newcomers, and strong sellers (relatively speaking) introduced to the PEV market are not “cars”, as the segment has traditionally been mostly comprised of. ie) Model X, BMW x5, etc.

          You’d be looking at splits of something like 7.1 million total passenger car sales in 2016, vs ~122,000 passenger PEVS, or ~1.7%

  2. Mikael says:

    Was that the last ever sub 1% month for EVs in the US?

    1. Pushmi-Pullyu says:

      Let us hope so! (Fingers crossed)

  3. TM says:

    Well, if you just count cars (not trucks), it looks like it might be 150,000 / 7,300,000 or 2%, which is amazing.

    http://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/data/browser/#/?id=48-AEO2016&cases=ref2016~ref_no_cpp&sourcekey=0

  4. Terawatt says:

    Great news. Meanwhile, over in Norway, the BMW i3 became the most sold car in November – of any type, electric or otherwise. EV share still hasn’t recovered from the assault brought upon them by the conservative government, but climbed to 19.4%.

    That same government just agreed on next year’s budget and among the lunacy is changes to the one time fee that in Norway makes up a big chunk of the sticker price on new cars. The one time fee for a Volvo XC90 will be 98,000 NOK – about $12,000 – less in 2017 than it is today. Thanks to better EVs the electric share shouldn’t decline a lot, but clearly this policy does nothing but retard CO2 reductions, which have to be made in the transportation and agriculture sectors (as electricity is already emissions free hydropower).

    Oh well.

    1. PJ says:

      Can you further explain that comment. I know all electric car sales are down in Norway this year but I believe most of it is due to the weakness of Norway’s currency compared to the dollar because of falling oil prices. Making it more expensive to buy a Tesla which makes up a large part of the market. Also the e-golf sales are weaker because of the upcoming new model. The increase in plug-in hybrids has probably only had a small impact in sales of all electric. If they are further reducing the cost of plug-in hybrids next year I only see that as a positive. I read an article a bit ago stating that half of all miles travelled in a plug-in hybrid was in electric mode. That’s a great improvement from a ice car.

  5. Otto says:

    0,97% historically one of the best showings ??
    all-time high for plug-in vehicle market share at around 1.5%???

    What about the 38% electric cars in 1900? Even without Tesla!

    https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elektroauto

    1. TM says:

      Yes, but 38% of a very small number doesn’t carry much weight. The Prius sells pretty well. I’d be happy if the EV (or any car with a plug) could meet the Prius numbers soon. Once we hit the Prius numbers then we can focus on the next milestone, whatever that might be.

  6. trackdaze says:

    So including mild hybrids. Electrification now has 3% of the market.

    Should go s curve ballistic very soon.

  7. Mister G says:

    Pitiful numbers…hopefully they will go up now that Trump met with Al Gore. Fingers crossed.

    1. PHEVfan says:

      You’d better keep those rose-colored glasses handy for the next few years… you’re gonna need them! 😉

  8. Just_Chris says:

    Just out of interest how many of the predicted “big sellers” for next year are build in the USA?

    I have been trying to work out what would happen if the new president applied a 35% sales tax rate on all cars not made in the USA. I figure Tesla would surge, as would the LEAF, Bolt, Volt, Energi twins and the Pac hybrid. Have I missed anyone? I figure the big losers would be the Prime and the German offerings but overall would it be a net gain?

    The other thing that I was thinking about is potential taxation of oil imports, I know that would boost shale gas but it would also probably push up the price of petrol and bankrupt the heavy oil producers….. with the exception of Canada who will get their pipeline. I suspect that he’ll not touch oil. IMO, he and the rest of the republicans will find a way to push the price per barrel up which has got to be a good thing – I just hope they don’t destabilize the world too much to do it.

    In a strange morbid way I am…… really unsure what emotion I can use to describe my feelings about Trump presidency but in a lot of ways I feel he could do all the right things for the wrong reasons.

    1. Rob Stark says:

      Pac hybrid made in Canada.

    2. PHEVfan says:

      Fusion Energi’s are made in Mexico, with ‘some’ USA parts (tranny)