In Norway, Plug-In Hybrids Set 4th Sales Record In A Row, Tesla Surges

DEC 8 2017 BY MARK KANE 19

New plug-in passenger car registrations in Norway – Norway 2017

The plug-in hybrid charge continues.

Surprising no one, plug-in electric vehicle sales in Norway stay strong in November.  Somewhat interestingly, outside of Tesla, most of the growth was via plug-in hybrid models (not all-electrics), that set a new sales record for the fourth month in a row.

Volvo XC60 T8 Twin Engine

In total, 5,813 new passenger plug-ins were registered last month (up 35.4% year-over-year), leading to an ultra-high 42.3% market share.

  • BEVs 2,704 (up 5.5%, good for a 19.7% market share) + 1,128 ‘used’ plug-ins + 112 vans (85 new and 27 used) + 3 FCV
  • PHEVs 3,109 (up 79.7%, good for 22.6% market share)

All-electric sales were just slightly higher than one year ago, but PHEVs surged by almost 80% to 3,109 and grabbed 22.6% market share.

The best selling PHEV model in November was the Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV (393) followed by new Volvo XC60 T8 (322).

One other record worth mentioning is imports, some 1,128 “used” passenger BEVs (Norway acquired more than 4,200 in the past four months)…which may or may not actually be used, as their is a year-end ‘EU regulatory dance’ that sees EVs registered in EU countries before ultimately finding their true owners in Norway.

As for those all-electric sales and slight overall gains for the month, it was all Tesla’s doing. The best selling plug-in models last month were the Tesla Model S & Model X, as Tesla delivered 501 and 495, respectively – a new “non last month of the quarter” record for the company in the country, underlining our thoughts over the past few months that Tesla was amping up its focus on international deliveries in Q4 to free itself in December to focus on Model 3 production in the US.

New plug-in passenger car registrations in Norway – Norway 2017

New plug-in passenger car registrations in Norway – Norway 2017

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19 Comments on "In Norway, Plug-In Hybrids Set 4th Sales Record In A Row, Tesla Surges"

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Next year with 8 new models,will reach 70% of market.

I hope 100

I read in a report it’s expected to be around 55% in 2018.
67% is expected in 2020.
74% in 2021.
79% in 2022. Due to no long range electric vans, minibuses and special vehicles + areas in Norway where there is no charging infrastructure because very few people live there..

How well they have analysed coming models, and the change to EVs is unknown to me.

I just see, that brands like Ford (with kind of no EV sales in Norway) still sell cars.
Also brands like Suzuki and Fiat with no EVs.

By 2025 there is supposed to be no regualar ICE cars for sale. Exception for Firedepartments/police/medical and military use – and trucks and long range buses.

Time will tell.

Also. . . Norway used to collect around 60 billion Nkr a year in car and fuel related taxes.
They have to get those taxes from someone – or start to fire public employees.
Nobody knows how the politics will change in this timeframe.

The main thing is that the difference in tax btw ICE and EV’s is high enough. EV tax does not have to be zero, and should not be zero as EV’s also use road and infrastructure and if possible should be substituted by public transport.

“Norway used to collect around 60 billion Nkr a year in car and fuel related taxes.
They have to get those taxes from someone – or start to fire public employees.”

Or they might even have to do the unimaginable and dip into their trillion-dollar Sovereign Wealth Fund.

That is, if they can’t already get a few billion Kroner in dividends as it stands…

http://money.cnn.com/2017/09/19/investing/norway-pension-fund-trillion-dollars/index.html

More than likely, their entire current tax scheme on cars was seen as a temporary measure in the first place. I’m willing to bet that a significant portion of those funds went straight into the sovereign wealth fund.

Quite the contrary. When tax-free energy cost is far lower per km, the taxation potential per km is higher. Just have to collect it differently.

I think this puts a lie to often repeated argument (lie) that the grid can’t handle it.

True. I live in Norway, and I can tell you it’s been an absolute non issue.

<5% of the total distance in Norway is driven by electricity. So what effect lots of electric cars will have in Norway is still years away from being discovered.

Quit using facts. That’s not allowed. Seriously however, I’m sure the impact will start getting felt more within a year or two but even if the market goes 100% electric, the transition of total miles driven lags that and the grid has plenty of time to respond especially in a country with so many natural resources for power.

Well since 98% of the electricity that powers the grid is hydro-power. Every ev that is bought instead of am ice makes the air cleaner.

The impacts are already being felt.

That’s not true.
The average plug-in hybrid user in the survey drives 60% of the total distance in EV mode in the summer and 53% in winter. The estimate for work trips is higher at 70% in the summer and 59% in winter. On the other hand, the study found that battery electric vehicles are driven more in total and in everyday traffic.[10]

I think he means 5% of all miles driven by all vehicles. i.e. over 90% of the cars on the road are still ICE. That’s why I mention the lagged electrical demand. 50% market share does not equal 50% of vehicles on the road.

…and the only reason the figure isn’t higher is because several thousands have ordered the Tesla 3 and it is not registered as a sale until its delivered. Also people have ordered all electric Hyunday Kona and when the Nissan Leaf 60 kWh will arrive late in 2018 not many will buy a petrol / Diesel car if the government keep the tax difference between ICE and electric longer.

They are improving the electricity grid, but most of cars charge at night, so it is not a problem. Also the charging network improves “every day” both for Tesla (virtually the whole country is covered) and other chargers. No wonder Tesla sales are high with high petrol prices two (due to high tax on petrol in Norway). The government are working together with commercial companies delivering a charging network so not only the stations with positive return on investment is built. I feel sorry for those trying to sell a relatively new mid-size diesel car in 2019 in Norway. Even, or should I say Especially, the remote areas will benefit from the new low priced long range Leaf and such in 2019.

Lots of new models will be offered in Norway first (plus the new 350 kWh chargers). It’s going to be exciting to see what cars and configurations will be most successful. It may provide quite a few answers to what a mature marketplace for EV’s will look like.

Love your data and articles but think it would be better if you used the same style chart for each vertical axis – ie. the ‘Previous Year’ should be a bar instead of a line. That way when you’re looking at it you see the bars and associate them with one vertical axis (left), and the line with the other vertical axis. Right now one line is associated with the left axis and one with the right.

One important remark: Mid 2018, the legislation in Norway will change, in a way that short-range PHEV (like the offerigs of Daimler, or others that advertise with “plug-in optional”) will loose the incentives. This will lead to a surge of those in the first half, afterwards, true BEVs will be increasing their share further. I wonder if December will have 50%+ market share of cars with plug. I guess it depends on Tesla, to make a last month of the quarter push of epic proportions to achieve this, as the Leaf sales are still down before arrival of the 2018 model

BEVs 2,704 (up 5.5%,
PHEVs 3,109 (up 79.7%,

Looks like Norway is waiting for a much-needed BATERY BREAKTHRU!

Norway is not waiting for anything or anybody. Their results to date certainly show that.

Of course, as batteries become smaller, lighter, and less expensive it will be easier for Norwegians to reach their goal (not required or mandated) for 100% of new car sales to be PEVs.