US Plug-In Electric Vehicle Sales To Date – Stacked And Sliced

AUG 5 2014 BY ERIC LOVEDAY 23

“How you stack & slice it.”

Tweets InsideEVs contributor Mark Larsen who forwarded these stacked (bar graph) and sliced (pie chart) representations of U.S. plug-in electric vehicle sales.

Above you’ll see cumulative model-by-model U.S. sales to date (through end of July using sales figures obtained via InsideEVs) and market share for individual plug-in electric models (again, using InsideEVs sales data).

To check out a recap of July 2014’s plug-in sales, and the year-to-date chart – go here.

Also from InsideEVs’ contributor kdawg, a graph expresings both the Chevrolet Volt and total EVs vs the overall auto market:

Total EVs (and the Chevrolet Volt) vs The Overall New Car Market In The US (via kdwag.com)

Total EVs (and the Chevrolet Volt) vs The Overall New Vehicle Market In The US (via kdwag.com)

For a look at some of InsideEVs’ previously published works with graphical contributions from Larsen, check out the links below.

US Electric Vehicle Market Share – Model By Model Breakdown

Nissan LEAF Versus Chevy Volt – Cumulative Sales Graph With Exponential Curve

Cumulative Plug-In Electric Vehicle Sales With Model-By-Model Breakdown For US – Behold Mount “EV”erest

*For more of Mark Larsen’s electric vehicle related works, check out his website here.

Categories: Sales

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23 Comments on "US Plug-In Electric Vehicle Sales To Date – Stacked And Sliced"

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DanCar

Would be nice if we could see percent increase for plug-in market. Use that info to extrapolate future plug-in sales and make a prediction when plug-ins will account for half of U.S. sales.

Here you go.

(more at kdawg.com, and marketshare tab)

That pic above is actually only through June. July data is up now.

Also, my prediction for 50% plug-in is 2039 🙂

I am going to embed that current/up-to-July graph to this story if that is ok with you, (;

/good stuff

Marc

I think another interesting point of data is the average number of cars sold per month since they were first introduced.
I’ve run those numbers and came up with the following:

Chevy Volt 1482
Nissan Leaf 1315
Toyota Prius PHV 1184
Tesla Model S 1085
Ford Fusion Energi 753
Ford C-Max Energi 649
BMW i3 352
Fiat 500e 265
Smart ForTwo ED 154
Ford Focus Electric 125
Chevy Spark EV 93
Toyota RAV4 EV 83
Cadillac ELR 73
Porsche PanameraS-E 63
Mitsubishi i-MiEV 57
Mercedes B-Class ED 41
Honda Accord PHV 39
Honda Fit EV 37

This gives a better idea of who’s really serious about plug-in vehicles and who’s not…

@Marc, Excellent datum point. A great reference: average vs. latest months sales.

Chevy Volt 1482, 2020
Nissan Leaf 1315, 3019
Toyota Prius PHV 1184, 1371
Tesla Model S 1085, 500 (plant retooling, was 1800 prev. month)
Ford Fusion Energi 753, 1226
Ford C-Max Energi 649, 831
BMW i3 352, 363
Fiat 500e 265, 119
Smart ForTwo ED 154, 298
Ford Focus Electric 125, 198
Chevy Spark EV 93, 128
Toyota RAV4 EV 83, 68
Cadillac ELR 73, 188
Porsche PanameraS-E 63, 63
Mitsubishi i-MiEV 57, 17
Mercedes B-Class ED 41, 41 (new model introduction, partial month)
Honda Accord PHV 39, 41
Honda Fit EV 37, 42

ffbj

Growing at a little over 1.5% a year seems overly pessimistic, at 2% growth per year you would hit the 50% by 2034, 20 years. Maybe with a big year or two where growth was more explosive and exponential instead of just linear, we could bring that number down to 15 years.

Spec9

There are just two main drivers .. . gas prices and whether the gigafactory (or other efforts) drive down battery prices.

Brian

Whenever you talk about growth as a percentage year-over-year, it is, by definition, exponential. This is true whether the percentage is 1.5% or 50%.

Mike

As the vehicles improve, and prices drop, you should see exponential growth.

But, the Volt and Leaf deserve a lot of credit here, mgmt really stepped up to the challenge.

David Murray

I agree – Having watched other technologies emerge over the last few decades, there is always a point where people just start dropping an old technology in favor of a new one in droves.

Omar Sultan

If EVs “cross the chasm” you should see a sharp inflection point with exponential (near vertical) growth. It may take decades to gt to that point, some could get shoved along by something like $5/gal gasoline.

The interesting irony at that point is companies like Tesla might not have to production capacity to meet demand and the established manufacturers might more profit in that kind of market as they might be greater production capacity. However, given Elon’s mission, he might not be all that upset with that.

Nix

One complication is that there are multiple chasms to cross for different classes of cars, not just one chasm.

There is the Luxury EV Chasm (Tesla appears to have already successfully crossed this chasm, based upon comparable MB and BMW sales at the top level.

At the other end of the scale is the plug-in full-size pickup chasm, which will be much harder to cross.

In the middle are city EV’s, family PHEV’s, etc in different classes of cars, that will all cross the chasm at different times for the market sectors that they compete in.

EV’s/PHEV’s need to spread into more market segments, and compete against more categories of gas cars before a number of these chasms will be crossed. I’m not trying to be negative, I’m just sayin’ there is lots of work to be done…

Omar Sultan

Fair point…

Brian

In differential calculus, an inflection point, point of inflection, flex, or inflection (inflexion) is a point on a curve at which the curvature or concavity changes sign from plus to minus or from minus to plus. The curve changes from being concave (positive curvature) to convex (negative curvature), or vice versa.

In this case, sales of electric cars are accelerating. If we hit an inflection point, sales will start to slow down. That’s exactly what we DON’T want to see.

PLEASE stop misusing this term!

Brian

I guess the site doesn’t like external links. The first paragraph was copied verbatim from the Wikipedia entry on Inflection Points.

pete g

Flat screen TV sales have dropped off but they still have a 100% market share

Spec9

Yep. I think we are starting to get ‘network effects’. When people see their neighbor get a plug-in and rave about how much money they are saving . . . people start to get interested. Sales will continue growing.

alain

Chou ! Chou! Much faster than you think when range grows.

Spec9

Nothing gonna stop this (electric) train.

ModernMarvelFan

So, if you look at the chart, among all “Plug in electric vehicles”, PHEV/EREV still dominates majority of the market here. Are the growth maining due to the BEV sales or PHEV/EREV sales?

It would be nice to see the two different curves.

Brian

Actually at this point, the US plug-in market is about evenly split between PHEV/EREVs and BEVs. It would be interesting to see them split though.

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