Tesla Model X Price? What’s Your Guess?


Tesla Model X

Tesla Model X

Tesla Model X Concept

Tesla Model X Concept

Now that we know for sure that the falcon doors will be a standard feature on the Tesla Model X and that all Model X will come with AWD and optionally a third-row seat (full story here), any guesses what the base MSRP will be?

With production and deliveries happening in just six months or so (“early 2015“) from Tesla, pricing on the electric SUV has to be arriving shortly.

We see estimates all over the board, ranging from perhaps as low as $70,000 (base MSRP) to as high as $100,000 (again, base MSRP).

Our guess?  The cheapest, bare-bones Tesla Model X will not be had for less than $80,000 (federal tax credit excluded).  $87,400 sounds pretty solid to us.

A fully loaded Model X will likely be in the ballpark of $130,000-$140,000.

Basically, we’re putting a $10,000 to $15,000 premium on the Model X, compared to the Model S.

What’s your Model X price guess?  Time to go on record and look foolish later!

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40 Comments on "Tesla Model X Price? What’s Your Guess?"

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With all the added features of the Model X over the Model S, it would seem to have to be more expensive. I’m guestimating a base 60kWh will be $79,900k. Then you can pile on the options just like a Model S.

There will be no 60 kW Model X, mark my words.

That very well could be…it is a bigger, heavier vehicle than the Model S…better Cd but worse CdA than the Model S…and it is basically a family vehicle, and will be bought as used as such…so yeah, the 60kWh version might not get 200+ miles EPA, which means that anyone in the market for a luxury SUV is very likely going to go for the 85kWh version.

Mikael they have a 60 kW option for the model x. It goes 60 or 85….

The company line all along has been in the single digits percentage wise more than a comparable Model S. This would mean under $76,890. I’m going with $74,900 as the base price, but with more options available the price could escalate even faster than Model S.

Bob, I’ll bid $1. (it’s closest w/out going over right?)

***mod edit*** picture add ***mod edit***

$79,950. Rationale is that they need margin to feed future programmes, it seems sales exceed supply, crucial fleet volume is more about residual value than capital cost – and they are building a very confident and credible brand and nurturing the fleet buyer and residual value ‘authors’. The X was never scoped to be a volume priced vehicle.

I’ll say $59,900, to maybe 95k with air conditioning…

The car is bigger, more complex (falcon doors)and has 4WD. All of that will add to cost. Since it’s bound to be less efficient than Model S it will either have less range or bigger batteries. If the latter, that will add to cost too.

I think the $10-15K premium estimate sounds reasonable, but could be more if the car comes with larger batteries to offer similar range as Model S.

Didn’t JB say that they were able to maintain the efficiency even thought it’s AWD? Balancing the power between the two axles was something they were proud of.

I also thought it was going to use the exact same battery packs as the Model S?

Correct me if I’m wrong.

It would be quite an achievement to build a heavier 4WD car without sacrificing efficiency. Logic dictates that’s not possible without innovations that would make Model S more efficient too.

Maybe Tesla has indicated it will use similar sized batterypacks but has it also indicated the car will have similar range as Model S? Wouldn’t that be what customers expect assuming a substantially higher price than Model S?

They meant that the AWD version would not be less efficient than the RWD version.

same packs – 60kwh and 85 kwh. fwd and awd have the same range approximately, but the x will get worse range with the packs than the s.

That seems to be the information so far. It’s less expensive to use the exact same packs, unless they were done for range. Certainly the 85kwh provides ample acceleration 😉 for a SUV. I have no idea how much range will be affected.

I did read comments from Tesla (JB Straubel?) that mentioned they would gain efficiency with a dual motor AWD. I am not sure if I will be able to dig up the reference, but I’ll give it a shot.

The premise of the gain in efficiency is that motor would be the same in both systems, but the gear ratio would be different. It basically gives them a two-speed gearbox, just in two separate power trains. A gear ratio is optimized for efficiency at one speed. With two ratios, they could pick two speed to optimize around. I surmised this was the reason they decided to make all Model Xs dual motor AWD.

It is then a matter of making a very well thought out control system to optimize the use of the two for efficiency, while still providing all the benefits of AWD (torque vectoring, stability control, traction control, etc.). AFAIK, their intent is to use the same exact battery packs, so they would have to work some magic in order to keep a 200+ EPA range on both pack option on the Model X.

Okay, so this video does confirm that the extra mass is going to affect range negatively, but the extra motor not since it enhances efficiency. It’s going to be interesting to see how EPA rated range pans out for Model X.

I will be able to buy eight Mitsubishi i-mievs price of the Tesla model X. The model X is at least going to be a $85,000 dollars so your not going to see the Ocean Railroader driving one. Due to how the economy is in the toilet.

You will however see me driving around in a Mitsbusihi i-miev in that it appears that Mitsubishi has figured out that there is a race of people called poor people that don’t have any money.

15k greater than Model S.


Even if the base MSRP is $80k, it won’t matter, the wait times on that configuration will be more than a year. Over half the first year Model X production has already been sold.

Now that guessing has begun (my guess is $85K by the way) who can guess when I will be able to buy a used MODEL S for 40K Euros, that’s what I want to know 🙂

You should be able to import one from Norway pretty soon. Base price is about €55k so the price as a used car should drop down to less than €40k in a year or two.
And then it depends on your country’s rules for imports from non-EU countries with import taxation and such on how much lower the price has to be for you to get it all the way home for €40k.

Mikael, do you know what sites Norwegians use to advertise their used cars on, something I will have to keep my eye on I suppose. Thanks.

Tip you off and have you steal mine? 😉 Just kidding. As far as I know finn.no is the largest page for second hand goods in Norway.

The prices are still as high as buying a new one but I expect the prises to drop when the Model X gets delivered in numbers to Norway.

Thanks. Hopefully in 2 years, Model S will also get a facelift so the prices will drop.

What is the import taxes and such for importing a car to your country (which I would guess is Russia? ;)) from Norway?

Hi Mikael, I live in Bratislava, Slovakia.

As far importing a car from Norway, it’s either no tax or possibly up to 10%, I still need to research it, but I think there is a way around it like 2 invoices (car at 15K + whatever else at 25K for example). I wasn’t able to research this yet as not many people import their cars from Norway, usually it’s the other way around.

Then it would be the same as here, which is natural since both are EU countries. 10% import toll.
I just checked it fast but it seems like the 25% VAT here is 0% VAT if the car is older than 6 months and has more than 6000 km on the meter.

Probably never. As Tesla will buy them back and demand is very high, the prices will stay high even for a used Model S.

Elon did say they expect the Model X to sell better than the Model S. Is it because of price or features? 🙂

Definitely features 🙂 Price will be higher.

Because luxury SUVs/CUVs sell better than their luxury sedan counterparts (at least in the US), and they expect the largest market will be the US.

Hmmm…let’s see…$63,570 after $7,500 Federal tax credit…so, base price of Model S at point of sale is $71,070…hmmm…I’d say $69,900 after the tax credit for a 60kWh Model X.

Or Mr. Musk will “pull an Elon” and reveal that the Model X will be priced exactly the same as the Model S, except that the 3rd row of seats will probably be substantially more than the rear jump seats. Then, shortly after production starts, they will announce that no-one wants the 60kWh version, so they will never produce it.

Since AWD will be standard on all Model Xs, I would expect to see a 7k – 10k premium over a base Model S.

The dual motor AWD will show up as an option on Model S for roughly the same price. I still think there is a chance Tesla will roll AWD into the performance package and make it the only way to get an AWD Model S.

*Puts on flamesuit*

No 60kWh version
92.5K base for the 85kWh version
105K base for the 100kWh version (using the supposedly soon-to-be-released new Panasonic 18650 “-C” cell)

The price premium will be hefty. But Tesla will still sell a lot of them.

I have been wondering if the new improved 18650 might show up with the Model X launch. It would give them some time using the cell before they start building them in the GigaFactory.

If they do up the pack capacities with a new cell, I am going to predict that the pricing stays level. Maybe ranges of 235 and 300 on Model X and 265 and 330 on Model S. This would give them differentiation between Model S/Model X and the Gen III platform.

Dropping that bomb at the end of the year would certainly get the attention of the other OEMs.

That is exactly my though. I might even raise you to $93k. 😉

No flamesuit needed. But maybe Tesla will need a flamesuit since there might be a lot of Model X buyers who where set on a $70k price and getting a $93k bill.

It will definitely cost far more than I and the vast majority of people either can or are willing to spend on a car.

I’m waiting for Gen 3, maybe Gen 4.

I see a LOT of luxury SUVs around the DC area, and SUVs/CUVs sell very well in the US. Tesla will have no trouble selling the Model X. The average selling price for a Model S is, what, over $90k?

If I was in the market for full-size luxury vehicles, I would have an S60 and I would have a reservation down for an X85.

Instead, I’ll probably end up with the GenIII sedan, CUV and Roadster, as each one comes out 2-3 years apart.

Would be nice if the X was priced the same as the current S, and the S price dropped some. Aren’t batteries supposed to be getting less expensive?