Tesla Model 3 Order Invites Go Nationwide

Tesla Model 3

JAN 5 2018 BY ERIC LOVEDAY 54

Order Confirmation

It started in California, then branched out to nearby states. Now, reservation holders across the nation are being asked to complete their Tesla Model 3 orders.

Tesla Model 3

From Massachusetts, to Wisconsin, to Texas, to Florida and everywhere in between, the Tesla Model 3 orders books are now open.

Social media is overflowing with reports of Tesla sending order invites to all reaches of the U.S.

Right now, it seems ordering is still limited to first-day reservation holders and current Tesla owners, but it’s only a matter of time now before ordering opens up to those of us who don’t currently own a Tesla.

Unfortunately, Model 3 production is behind schedule, but Tesla is saying that those who are asked to order now will see a wait of no longer than 3 months (1-3 months is being promised right now), provided you opt for the earliest delivery version of the Model 3 and don’t hold out for other features like AWD.

Categories: Tesla

Tags: , ,

Leave a Reply

54 Comments on "Tesla Model 3 Order Invites Go Nationwide"

newest oldest most voted

The more important future article will be when Tesla allows consumers who aren’t previous owners/lessees to buy the base model.

My guess is that if it were to happen this year, it will happen in the 4th quarter.

Will we see the much balleyhood “$35k Model 3” that Elon has mentioned so often this year? I’m doubtful we’ll ever see one delivered at $35k (+$1k fees), forget 2018.

@bro1999… lol… love your throwing shade at everything Tesla while at same time driving your Bolt eagerly sucking the Tesla Destination Charger teat… comical. Hopefully you don’t grow tired of that because it brings a smile to my face each time I come across one of your comments! Charge on!

What makes you think this loser could afford a Bolt? Most likely this troll’s most priced possession is his internet connection!

ROFLOL!

$35K Model 3 is a marketing gimmick to grab attention. These will not be produced in volume.

Reminds me of Honda in 1988, where they had a model for $8888 and every dealer was allocated *exactly* one, probably so they can all say “Yes they actually exist, we had one” to customers.

Nissan can do it, why Tesla would not be able to do it ? Tesla Model 3 STD and Nissan Leaf II e-Plus are real close in term of range and price, but TM3 STD will have 14 kWh less of battery, totally feasible for Tesla, but with a higher margin for them.

Nissan is probably better at keeping production costs contained. Also the Model 3 is trying to still be a performance car, whereas the Leaf is tuned more towards being a standard “A to B”‘er. I have to think making the car able to go 0 to 60 in 5 seconds probably results in higher overall production costs.

That being said, let me be clear: I am not convinced we’ll never see the $35K model. I can see the arguments either way. However, the Model 3 doesn’t really end up being a mass market car unless they actually produce the base model.

Very likely true.

I believe Chevy will release a significantly upgraded Bolt before even the $60K Model 3 is available to walk-in customers at Tesla dealers. Maybe even the gen2 Bolt.

I hope Tesla succeed sooner but for me the Bolt will do just fine. I’ve no interest in a $60K car and even the Bolt is a stretch at $35K. That’s a lot of money to drop on a rapidly depreciating asset.

I feel like there’s a fundamental conflict between this idea of never seeing the base Model 3 and that of the Model 3 selling 200,000 per year.

I simply don’t see the demand being there for a $50K car. There just aren’t enough who can afford a car that expensive (or even if they can technically afford it, they can’t justify it).

So, if Tesla really ramps up to 5000/week at some point, I don’t see how that happens without the base model being for sale. Hell, I’m not sure it happens *with* the base model available. There’s obviously pent up demand right now with the order backlog, but once that clears it’s not clear yet what the sustainable demand is for the Model 3.

Base model forecast for my early reservation is “Early 2018”, first units sold expected to be without the PUP. That would maintain upsell on the LR and also capture the purchases that depend most heavily on the tax credit.

PUP doesn’t add anything essential for people in mild or warm climates.

Hey MadBro, thanks for keeping us entertained with your increasingly irrelevant, whinging stages-of-grief posts about Tesla’s Model 3 production!

😆 😆 😆

Go Tesla!

Interesting… I would have assumed California would have kept them at full capacity for several months. Makes you wonder about the distribution of the 500k reservations worldwide. Also maybe there is a lower adoption for the higher spec models than anticipated. The first vehicles were suppose to go to Tesla and SpaceX employees. Apparently they are through that group with the high spec model 3’s since they are delivering to regular people.

A $1k 100% refundable deposit is one thing. An additional non-refundable $2.5k deposit (and locking in that first $1k too) is a totally different story.

Ding ding ding. The high spec model is not worth it just get the S. People want the 35k model then you will see it fly out the factory

In many ways the 3 is better than the S. For example, some of us don’t want a massive luxo-barge and appreciate smaller, better handling cars.

I also prefer the 3 interior and more responsive touchscreen.

Model S doesn’t handle anything like a “massive luxo-barge”. All these cars are a complete improvement from front-engine mounted yachts.

Above said, I agree the Model 3 is “smaller, and better handling”. Bet even if I believed its touch-screen were more responsive, its position and Mongolian multi-functionality will never be less than a hassle. It’s already bad enough with Model S, and the involuntary re-arranging updates have wrought.

The Model S is a very wide car. 8″ wider than a Ford Expedition, wider than most Hummers–less than an inch narrower than an H-1.

8″ wider than an Expedition? Haha. More like the reverse.

Why do you write things that don’t pass the sniff test? Why not spend 2 minutes to look stuff up?

– width including mirrors:
Expedition: 91.8″, Model S: 86.2″

– width with mirrors folded:
Expedition: 79.7″, Model S: 77.3″

Fake news! 😉

I must agree that the Model S is very wide. It is not much room on each side of the car on the parking lots…especially since the Width of the parking lots in Norway has been unchanged for decades…even though the width of the cars increase.

@theflew said: “…Makes you wonder about the distribution of the 500k reservations worldwide. …”
————-

There are a bunch of reservation holders holding out longer for the higher priced AWD-Luxury-Optioned & the lower priced RWD-Basic. Tesla played it smart to initiate high production with RWD-Luxary-Optioned on a locked configuration basis which is the midpoint of the two configuration options endpoints.

Tesla has to be able to handle the deliveries. In LA and SF, Tesla’s using dedicated delivery locations. They’re probably full.

Plus, the requests are going out to a subset of owners:
– Current Model S or X owners
– in the USA
– who reserved early(?) on the first day
– who want a rear-wheel drive
– non-performance
– Long Range
Model 3

“Interesting… I would have assumed California would have kept them at full capacity for several months. Makes you wonder about the distribution of the 500k reservations worldwide. Also maybe there is a lower adoption for the higher spec models than anticipated.”

With such a narrow range of options available, I find it entirely unsurprising that Tesla has run to the end of the list of employees/insiders who want a TM3 with only those few specific options.

Obviously not all of the California pre-orders have been satisfied. In fact, I think it’s safe to conclude that only a small fraction of them have been. I find your remarks rather puzzling, and contrary to the available evidence.

My devivery estimate is currently Oct – Nov 2018, after indicating AWD preference.

Reserved early morning of April 1st, 2016: April Fools Day. Why did I wait? Was’t immediately embracing the Model 3’s minimal interior, trunk or polarizing front fascia.

Hope my current vehicle holds out that long… It’s 17 years old.

This is all well and good for some. Some of us would like to actually sit in one, maybe even (gasp) drive it up the road a couple miles and back before we convert from a $1k refundable reservation deposit to a $3.5k non-refundable order commitment.

Maybe I’m in the minority here?

Just because you get invited to configure does not mean you have to right away. If you are one of the lucky ones who gets the invitation – then it is your choice.

Be interested to see how many reservation holders are actually just “flippers” that will sell their Model 3 as soon as they receive it. Even if they don’t claim the $7.5k credit, I’m pretty sure they will be able to sell for over MSRP with little issues.

@bro1999 said: “…Be interested to see how many reservation holders are actually just “flippers”… I’m pretty sure they will be able to sell for over MSRP with little issues.”
————-

The more the better…

Ayytime something can be sold for more than what it was purchased serves as validation of strong market demand… a good problem for Tesla to have. Of course Tesla takes a public position of discouraging Model 3 “flipping” but that public position in itself further promotes the Model 3 value proposition.

Typo: “Ayytime” should read “Anytime”

It doesn’t necessarily mean high market demand, just that demand outstrips supply. Right now since supply is so limited that’s not exactly hard.

Just add $500. to your $3.5K order commitment, and go get a Model 3 TURO rental for a whole day. You can put it through all the “Tests” you want! Now you will have all the information you need to make an informed buying decision, and you will get your delivery that much sooner.

Ok, rentals are under $300.00 per day, now that there are 3+ available.
Saving $200.00 on a Model 3 rental is a deal!

https://turo.com/rentals/cars/ca/los-angeles/tesla-model-3/361064?s=ISbKpq7z

Oops, my BAD, it’s a two day (2 X $299.00) rental. Darn Fine Print, must read fine print.

@William said:”Just add $500. to your $3.5K order commitment, and go get a Model 3 TURO rental…”
————

Will be interesting to see how Model 3 availability & pricing plays out on TURO… for sure there are a bunch of both existing and prospective Model 3 reservation holders that would jump on the opportunity to pay a few hundred dollars to day-rent test drive a Model 3.

@Mark C: Agreed, and that’s been my feeling for a while.

Hundreds of these early shipments should be going to Tesla stores for test drives and eventual sale to reservation holders.

I won’t buy sight unseen.

@Mark C,
I bought these cars without even sit in before paid for it: 1984, 1986 and 1991 Accord, 1994 Lexus LS400, 2000 Mercedes E430, 2004 Honda S2000.

I still have 2000 Mercedes E430 and 2004 Honda S2000. Never regret those buying decisions.

Yeah, it can go bad too. Think of those who bought a Bolt without first sitting in the seat of nails.

“Maybe I’m in the minority here?” I’d say you have plenty of company, and if you’re not in the majority then at least it’s a pretty large minority. I don’t know a lot of people who are eager to buy a car without a test drive. Sure, some people with more dollars than sense are gonna want to be the first in their neighborhood to own a Tesla Model 3, so much so that they’re willing to buy it sight unseen. But I doubt that segment of the population is very large. With the Model S and the Model X, we saw a lot of comments on the Tesla Motors Club forum from people saying they were waiting to “pull the trigger” on converting their reservation to an order, because they wanted some early production issue or issues to settle out before they got their car. I’m sure there are at least some Model 3 reservation holders who also are not eager to get an early production Tesla car, and who are going to wait awhile before finalizing their order. But that segment is likely far smaller than those who are waiting for an option that’s not currently available… such… Read more »

Glad to see Tesla Model 3 clearly making progress exiting Production Hell. Tesla Model 3 must next pass through Delivery Hell but Tesla will also figure that out and adapt accordingly.

Prediction:

The InsideEV ScoreCard for FY2018 will show Tesla EV sales 30%+ of the total EVs sold.

You suggest that achieving a 30% market share would be an achievement. Actually, it would be a disaster if Tesla got as low a share as that.

Look at the numbers. In 2017, non-Tesla EVs totaled 150,000. Tesla sold 48,375 of its S and X models.

In 2016, non-Tesla EVs totaled 111,500.

So lets say, in 2018, that non-Tesla EVs sell 200,000 units. Let’s also say that Tesla sell 50,000 S and X models.

Now for the big wild-card. Taking Tesla at their word (hmmm), let’s say that from June through December, they sell 20,000 Model 3 cars a month. For Jan – May, lets say they sell 5,000, 7,000, 10,000, 13,000 and 16,000 units. So total for the year is 191,000.

This would see a scorecard with a total of 441,000 units sold, of which 241,000 units are Teslas. A market share of 55%.

To have a share of only 30%, and using the same 200,000 sales of non-Tesla vehicles and 50,000 of the Model S and X would suggest a mere 36,000 Model 3 cars sold. Like I said, a disaster.

@David Rowell said: “You suggest that achieving a 30% market share would be an achievement. Actually, it would be a disaster if Tesla got as low a share as that…”
——————-

@Davis Rowell, I wrote “30%+”… the “+” part meaning a market share greater than (>) 30%… which would solidly place Tesla as the 2018 market share leader.

Each next published monthly InsideEV ScoreCard from Jan-Dec 2018 a top story point will be how the Tesla Model 3 each month pushes Tesla to yet a higher market share… certainly possible is that by year end Tesla’s market share goes as high as 55% as you illustrated… which if that materializes the traditional car makers are in deep trouble territory.

I saw a car carrier load of M3s headed north on I-25 at the Colorado-New Mexico border last weekend. Probably headed to Denver/Boulder. There aren’t any SpaceX or Tesla employees in Colorado that I am aware of so they must be distributing to some early reservation holders outside of California.

It would be great to know something about the arrival of the AWD option. I would bet that AWD and the larger battery will be the top options people are holding out for.

So much for taking care of California customers closest to the production site first.

Depends on when you ordered and your standing in the queue.

They wanted to give to California first because of potential issues with the cars. The interesting thing now is that they are confident enough to ship the Model 3 far away from the factory.

Being close to the Fremont plant was only one of several factors that Tesla uses to determine who gets priority. I’m fairly sure Tesla never said it would satisfy all the California orders before moving on to others in the queue; why would you assume that one factor gets priority over all the others put together?

Sorry, but my assumption about the underlying reason to start shipping out of CA now is because the model year changed to 2018 as of Jan 1st. I don’t believe it’s so much about “bottleneck being resolved” or production ramp increase. Tesla was purposefully, and rightfully, trying to max out their my17 zev credits which are worth considerably more than 18my.

From article: “…Unfortunately, Model 3 production is behind schedule…”
—————

It’s the Tesla way…

Plant a goal flag way upfield (beyond normal/reasonable expectations) and challenge the Team to perform accordingly… reward those that best contibute to closing the distance gap and flush out those that add drag to the mission…yes it often results in Tesla being late to publicly stated goal but the goal is eventually crossed and results in a pace of innovation that is quicker than had Tesla set “reasonable” expectations.

Tesla/Musk clearly does not hold the term “reasonable” in high regard… I’ve heard rumors that using that “R Word” at Tesla to argue a position/opinion is a big no-no.

I called a local tint shop here in Houston this week to see if they had pricing for Model 3 yet.

The shop owner said there are 8 that he knows of in Houston already, two of which are definitely not employees. I was shocked. I haven’t seen any yet.

Owner drives a Model S and has a 3 on order, so he seemed generally knowledgeable about Tesla.

P.S. He did say he thought the aero wheels looked better with covers on than off. From pictures I would very much say the opposite. Any once else seen the covers off 18” wheels in person?

The California market has been a huge % of both Tesla’s and other EV manufacturer’s markets. Between what has been delivered and what is in-transit, Tesla has produced 3-4K Model 3’s and perhaps having another 3K configured and in production control. Let’s assume 7K is the net # of employee, California, and Tesla owner 1st day reservation holders who converted their reservations to firm sales contracts.

Anyone have a guess about how many 1st day reservations were made by California residents, employees, &/or Tesla owners? Maybe 25%? 100,000 reservations?

If Tesla has sent out 100K opportunities to those reservation holders for configuring and only 7K have converted, what does that mean about the expected conversion rates going forward?

You are stunts like this whenever the TSLA rally breaks. Yesterday there was quite a selloff.

You are -> You see. 🙂

Lol…1% eod is a selloff to you? You must be new to the stock market casino.

4 or 5 or Six Electrics said:

“You [see] stunts like this whenever the TSLA rally breaks. Yesterday there was quite a selloff.”

Okay, I can read a graph. I see yesterday there was a sudden ~$9 drop in TSLA price when the market opened, but then within a few hours the price shot back up to nearly the previous closing level. Yawn; just another day for this highly volatile stock.

And dude, we didn’t really need yet another reminder that you’re only here because you’re short-selling TSLA. That’s been painfully obvious for years now. Personally, I’m interested in the performance of Tesla, the company; not TSLA, the stock. Too bad about you!