Survey – 82% Of Suppliers Think BEVs Will Be Primary Focus Post 2025
MAY 20 2018 BY STEVEN LOVEDAY
It turns out 2025 is a popular year when it comes to the turning point and future of battery electric cars.
It’s easy to say that any survey or study may have been unscientific. Surveys often pull from a strange pool of the population or are skewed in some way or another. Studies may be tailored based on a firm’s motives, political connections, or any number of factors. Regardless, it’s still interesting to read people’s responses and get an idea of what lies out there.
Another Analysis: Moody: BEVs Comprise 8% Global Vehicle Sales By 2025, 19% By 2030
With that being said, we’ve noted several surveys here at InsideEVs that all seem to point to 2025 as a key year for the adoption of electric vehicles. More specifically, a time when battery electric vehicles (BEVs) may start to really take hold. This makes sense for a number of reasons. Whether or not you believe in one firm’s motives, methods, or results, when there are a number of unrelated sources coming up with a similar outcome, it becomes much more compelling.
A recent survey by CALSTART shows that top automotive suppliers are benefiting from today’s CAFE standards. In fact, most suppliers believe that after 2025 BEVs will be most important. The survey also finds that these suppliers are on board with fuel economy standards due to their positive force related to company job growth and industry investment (interestingly two things that OEMs are not necessarily in agreeance with). The suppliers are hopeful that policymakers won’t change current standards in a negative way:
Automotive suppliers have benefitted from strong fuel economy standards. Our survey shows that more suppliers are seeing the 2025 fuel economy standards as good for jobs and good for investment. The growth these companies are enjoying is at risk if the 2025 standards are rolled back. If there is one thing these companies need to thrive, it’s consistent, long-term targets.
President and CEO of CALSTART John Boesel said 76 percent of respondents hope to see US 2025 LDV GHG standards maintained or made even more positive. 80 percent would like to see 2021-2025 standards kept or made more aggressive and 87.5 percent believe that lawmakers need to get a jump on creating post-2025 standards.
Below are the survey’s primary results (via Green Car Congress):
- 84% of respondents agreed that the existing 2025 standards tend to encourage job growth at their companies. This is a 25% jump from a similar survey that Ricardo performed for CALSTART in 2016.
- 95% of respondents agreed that more ambitious fuel economy standards tend to encourage more innovation and investment in the US; 22.7% strongly agreed.
- Respondents emphasized the need for regulatory certainty, which helps companies plan investments and strategies and ensures that fuel efficiency standards will serve as drivers for innovation.
- 87.5% of the respondents (21 out of 25) advocated that it is important to start planning and setting standards now for beyond 2025. New technologies have long development lead times, so regulatory certainty is essential.
- 82% of the respondents either agreed (52%) or strongly agreed (30%) with the statement, “companies that are leaders in vehicle efficiency technology will be leaders more successful over the next 10-15 years.”
Unfortunately, the survey takers pointed to smaller engines, turbochargers, and 48-volt mild hybrids as an initial means to better fuel economy. However, when asked the same question about the period from 2026-2032, respondents strongly agreed that 48-volt mild hybrids, full hybrids, plug-in hybrids, and battery-electric vehicles would be better-suited for the task. CALSTART equates this with a shift of thinking regarding technology adoption beyond 2025.
Moreover, and most importantly, 82 percent of those surveyed chose BEVs as the most significant form of applicable tech after 2025.
Source: Green Car Congress