SoCal to be Home to More Than 350,000 Plug-In Vehicles by 2020

AUG 16 2013 BY ERIC LOVEDAY 14

Buried within a recently released Southern California Edison (SCE) white paper titled “Charged Up” was this promising detail: SCE is getting its grid ready to serve the estimated 350,000 plug-in vehicles that will be within the utilities service area by 2020.

Volt in HOV Lane

Volt in HOV Lane

This estimate may seem high, but it’s not coming from some market research firm who may or may not received funding from either big oil or a green interest group.  Nope, this estimate comes straight from the company who’s responsible for supplying juice to the booming number of plug-in in the Southern California region.

SCE says that it currently provides power for around 10% of all of the plug-ins on the roads in the US today.

So, if we do some number crunching and assume that SCE will keep steady at that 10%, then by 2020 there could be 3.5 million plug ins on US roads.

Surely that’s some crude math and the 2020 result could vary dramatically, but it at least gives us an idea of what to expect from a utility company’s perspective.

SoCal ED’s White Paper can be found here

SCE Service Area Map

SCE Service Area Map

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14 Comments on "SoCal to be Home to More Than 350,000 Plug-In Vehicles by 2020"

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Foo
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Foo

Great… another drunk person applying their HOV stickers. Hey, yoo-hoo… they go on the back, like the picture in the instructions.

Seriously, why can’t people their HOV stickers on properly? They’re all wacky crooked and/or in the wrong spots.

kdawg
Guest

I wouldn’t want to put a sticker on my car paint. Can’t they have something goes on the inside of the window, or maybe on the license plate?

Foo
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Foo

You cannot modify your license plate in any way. (Other than to apply the official month sticker from the DMV.)

I’ve seen people apply the stickers to their rear side windows (I guess glass is easier to remove from) but I don’t think that is encouraged.

Personally, I put some wax down under the stickers and stuck them in the traditional spots (on paint). I don’t know if the wax will help, but I don’t think it can hurt. And, apparently, the stickers are not so hard to take off. The trick is to carefully heat them (with a hair dryer or heat gun) and slowly peel them off. You can google the technique.

Carl
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Carl

I received 3 stickers.
Two for the Rear, and one for the front.
The diagrams were very specific where the large decals and the small decals go.

And kdawg is right, it feels wrong to put those stickers on a brand new vehicle… but I had to suck it up, and just do it.

io
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io

Carl, sorry to say but…
“For white decals, place on the right side of the REAR bumper only” (my emphasis)

Foo is correct, EV stickers never go on the front of the vehicle; PHVs’ do, but they are green, and there are four total.
See http://www.dmv.ca.gov/vr/decal.htm question 23.

And yes, I too would really prefer if CA just issued EV and/or PHV license plates instead of those ugly stickers. But I realize those are easier for police to spot…

Foo
Guest
Foo

Sorry Carl, if you put your white HOV stickers on the front, then you’ve only proved my point. 🙂

Somehow, you managed to misread the instructions:
http://www.dmv.ca.gov/vr/decal.htm

kdawg
Guest

There are ~120,000 plug-ins on the roads today. So 10% = 12,000, being charged by SCE. Plugins. Accumulative plug in cars have been doubling about every 6 months. Let’s be more conservative and say it will double every year instead. That means in 2020 there will approximately 1.5 million EV’s on the roads.

I’d like to know how many cars there are in general in the SoCal area, to see how 12,000 compares.

BrainKnot
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BrainKnot

Base on experience – for every 50,000 EV’s $100,000,0000 staysin the local economy – thus 1.5 million EV’s would keem an extra $3 BILLION each year not being sent to OIL countries…. of course your mileage may vary, but in my case it is over $3,000 in yearly savings NOT buying gasoline – this figure could only be higher if there are oil supply issues in the next 7 years.

Rick
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Rick

Oil supply issues will happen eventually, the only question is, will it be a smooth transition, or a bloody one?

Ocean Railroader
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Ocean Railroader
Us moving over to electric cars is going a lot more smoothly then I thought it would be in 2007. In that during that time there where no mass marketed plug in cars at the time and you where stuck with gas if you wanted to or not. And this meant if the oil facet got cut off we would fall apart like a meth addict being locked in a room. At least now there are a few more things keeping gas prices in check in that if say gas went up to $6.00 dollars a gallon today you could go out and buy a plug in car. Back in 2007 you couldn’t really do anything about it but you could get your frustration out by flipping over a few cars and burning a few buildings and rioting in that there really where not any other options. Even now the gas prices are not behaving as violently as I was planning on them in that in 2008 the gas prices where going up by leaps and bounds at $0.10 to $0.20 a week for weeks on end. And then they crashed when the recession started. But I have a theory… Read more »
Ocean Railroader
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Ocean Railroader

The EV’s over the next ten years are going to trigger major problems in the middle east in that I have read a book called Twilight in the Desert which is about what will happen to global economy when Saudi Arabia’s largest oil field finally dies. But the book also talks about how 80% of the middle east’s money and jobs are based off of the oil industry or funding from fees collected from oil revenue and it’s not going to be a pretty picture when these forces start happening.

Rick
Guest
Rick

Recent trends, such as increased EV and hybrid use, increased natural gas production, revamped interest in nuclear power technology, and a smooth drop off in petroleum demand, lead me to be hopeful it will be a smooth transition.

B00nk
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B00nk

It’ll be 35 grand for a loaf of bread,but it will be orderly and smoove transition to electric cars.

Ocean Railroader
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Ocean Railroader

I would be worried about something happening to the US like what happened to Germany after world war one where they ran the printing presses for everything and they did million dollar loafs of bread and they did people with wheelbarrows of money waiting in line for soup and bread. As for this happening it could happen depending on how much they try to game the money system. But $10 a gallon gas could help trigger it.