Lots Of LEAFs By 2035, We Suspect

Lots Of LEAFs By 2035, We Suspect

In its latest report on the future of plug-in and fuel cell vehicles, Navigant Research attempts to predict the number of light-duty vehicles (LDVs) that will be on roads around the globe by 2035.  Navigant then tries to forecast what percent of those vehicles will be plug-in and fuel cell vehicles.

The conclusion, per Navigant via Green Car Congress, is that "plug-in hybrid (PHEV), battery-electric (BEV), and fuel-cell electric (FCV) together will add up to almost 2.5% of the LDVs in use in 2035."

2.5% of what figure?  Well, according to Navigant, there will be an estimated 2 billion LDVs in use worldwide in 2035.  2.5% of 2 billion equals 50,000,000, or a hell of a lot of plug in and fuel cell vehicles.

Navigant adds:

"While the landscape for vehicle technologies will change significantly, alterations to the primary fuel landscape will be more modest. LDVs primarily fueled by gasoline will fall as a percentage of the overall global fleet from 82% in 2014 to 75% in 2035. Fuel efficiency gains from diesel engines will increase diesel’s share of the fleet from 16% in 2014 to 19% in 2035. By 2035, more than 4% of vehicles will be fueled by natural gas and less than 1% by hydrogen. Vehicles fueled exclusively by electricity will represent 1% of global LDVs in use; however, PEVs (which also includes PHEVs) will represent almost 1.7%."

Source: Green Car Congress