Analysts across the industry are lowering new car sales forecasts for June and throughout the summer due to growing concerns about the economy, and the state of the American consumer. That said, year over year sales will still track much higher than last year's results.
Tracking site Edmunds.com expects 1.3 million new cars to be sold in June, which represents a 4.7% decrease from May 2012. However, that many vehicles sold in the month would show a 20.7% increase over last year. The reason why a celebration is not in order for this dramatic improvement, is because June of 2011 was marred by the aftermath of the Japanese tsunami in March of 2011, leaving all the Japanese automaker's dealerships here in the United States barren by June of that year.
For this June's results, Ford has said the economy for the month was 'mixed' and expects sales unchanged from May. GM is forecasted to gain only marginally over last year, with Chrysler once again the surprise winner, with a sales increase of about 16%.
The big winners* this month will, again, certainly be the Japanese automakers working against disastrous comparables. Massive increases are expected anywhere from 20% (Nissan) to 50% (Honda) to 60% (Toyota).
Breaking the results down by vehicle segment this month however, should see a dramatic increase in the amount of electric vehicles hitting the road. All the major EV players have come out this month to tout sales, new marketing programs and increased availability.
- Chevrolet Volt - new HOV stickers, a $2,500 dealer incentive program lead a GM spokesperson to say "the company is "on track to have one of our strongest Volt months since launch." (article here)
- Nissan LEAF - Bill Kreuger, Vice Chairman of Nissan North America came out this month to state Nissan would still hit their goal of 20,000 units sold this fiscal year (thru March 31) despite only moving 1,459 LEAFs the first 3 months. Nissan had blamed supply constraints in the past, and has said that September is when we start to see dramatic results. Still, new model inventory for the company has reached an all-time high of 2,000 units, more than double that of last month. (article here)
- Mitsubishi i - while we still don't expect much of anything from the smallest of the Japanese auto makers, having only sold 295 i-MiEVs over the last 7 months, Mitsu recently announced they have finally started an internet and print campaign to promote the car, as well as begun a superficially attractive $249/month lease deal (article here)
- Tesla Model S - obviously the company was up against nothing for May, and as Tesla delivered the first 10 cars last week at the official first delivery ceremony (video) sales increases are assured. Unfortunately, Tesla does not give out monthly numbers, so the finally tally for June will not be known until their next quarterly report (inaugural Model S review here)
- Toyota Plug In Prius - this is the only real wild card of the bunch as the true on-going demand for the car is yet unknown. The first full month of sales (April) saw 1,654 units move, but in the second month, sales normalized to just over a 1,000. Toyota insists the demand for the car is still very strong.
- Ford Focus Electric - like the Model S, the Focus EV is a very new entry into the market place and has a very low bar set for it to jump over. About a half dozen cars were sold in May. June should see many times that.
June car sales will be released Tuesday throughout the day, and we will have all the up to the minute EV results by manufacturer here at InsideEVs as they are made available.
Graphic via Ycharts