January 2019 U.S. Plug-In EV Sales Report Card

FEB 4 2019 BY STEVEN LOVEDAY 96

And so it begins … another year of EV sales reporting, hopefully teeming with amazing news.

January will mark the 40th month of consecutive year-over-year monthly sales gains for plug-in vehicles.

Each month InsideEVs tracks all plug-in EV sales/deliveries for the United States by automaker. The last five consecutive months are now the top five best-selling months of all time. We have no doubt January will show tremendous year-over-year growth, but where will it fit in? Is there a chance it could make the top five list?

More Info: Updated deep dive into our estimates and methodology

If history repeats itself (and we believe it will), January sales will be way down as compared to the last several months. It has never been a hot month for EV sales. However, there are many variables involved. We will admit that as any year goes on, we get a much better grasp of the situation. However, early in the year, we don’t have a solid idea how things may play out. This year the variables are even greater since the Tesla Model 3 is now making its way overseas. Additionally, yet another automaker (Ford) is moving to quarterly reporting. What a mess!

For these reasons, we are going to further streamline our sales reporting. Over the next several months, as we get a better hold on the situation, we’ll adapt as needed. Please bear with us as we consider some level of transition into the future.

Top Months for U.S. EV Sales to Date (estimated):

  1. December 2018 – 49,900
  2. September 2018 – 44,544
  3. November 2018 – 42,588
  4. August 2018 – 36,347
  5. October 2018 – 34,074

An estimated 361,307 plug-in electric vehicles were sold in the U.S. in 2018. We anticipate that number rising substantially in 2019. However, these first few months of 2019 (like that of 2018) may leave us a bit skeptical. Being that the Model 3 pulled so much weight in 2018 — and is leaving us for other markets — overall monthly figures may appear bleak. This should prove especially true in the first and second months of each quarter, though we’re confident year-over-year sales will continue to be up significantly, at least early on.

Hopefully, as Tesla streamlines its processes, everything will level out accordingly. We can only assume that — like the Model S and X — Model 3 deliveries will remain decent in the U.S. early in the quarter and then ramp up in the final month. This may not be so true in Q1, but should gain momentum as the year continues.

In January 2018, a mere 12,009 plug-in electric vehicles were sold based on our estimates. The month struggled to pass the previous year’s January sales, which were an estimated 11,004. How will this January stack up? As you can clearly see, January 2019 has already far surpassed prior years. Let’s look at why …

Because of low in-transit vehicles at the end of Q4 and because Tesla has stated that current production is focused entirely on Europe and China, we have made the choice to be very conservative in estimating U.S. Model 3 deliveries this quarter. In addition, we’re being realistic with our Model S and X estimates.

The good news is that we’ve seen reports of many U.S. buyers receiving deliveries in about a week or as quickly as a few days in some cases. We also know that Tesla had about 1,000 Model 3s in transit at the end of the last quarter. It makes sense to deduce that most Model 3 production beyond that (at least until the last week or so of December) was delivered to U.S. customers prior to Tesla switching to production efforts for Europe and China. This means that — in addition to those 1,000 or so cars — another 5,000+ were delivered in the U.S. before Tesla redirected its production efforts. Our research supports this premise.

Additionally, we know that 1,897 Model S and Model X vehicles were in transit at the end of December. As usual, most Model S and X vehicles will also be heading overseas this month, since it’s the first month of the quarter. However, Tesla has made it abundantly clear that its primary goal is to get Model 3 sedans on ships. Moreover, there was a brief period during which Tesla wasn’t producing lower-priced S and X vehicles, since it discontinued 75D models. Next month, we’ll begin to see the impact of the new base, Extended Range, and Performance Model S and X offerings.

With all of that being said, our estimates show that Tesla delivered 6,500 Model 3 vehicles in the U.S. this January 2019. The automaker also delivered an estimated 950 Model X crossovers and 875 Model S sedans.

Since GM has decided to discontinue monthly sales reporting, we provide you with estimates each month and then reconcile (if needed) at the end of each quarter.

Based on our data collection, GM delivered 925 Bolt EVs and 675 Volts in the U.S. in January 2019.

Nissan LEAF sales for the month of January were down from prior months, but way up year-over-year. 2018 was a weird situation since 2018 U.S. LEAF production was delayed as the upcoming car was just coming to market. Looking back historically, Nissan sold 772 LEAFs in January 2017 and 775 in January 2016 in the U.S. So, last month’s numbers are not far off.

The automaker reported deliveries of 717 LEAFs in the U.S. for last month.

The Toyota Prius Prime continues to impress in the PHEV department and in terms of overall U.S. EV sales. However, numbers are down from last year.

According to Toyota, it delivered 1,123 Prime’s in the U.S. in January 2019.

The Honda Clarity Plug-in Hybrid kicked some major butt in 2018. In fact, it was the best-selling plug-in hybrid vehicle on our shores in October and December, thus giving the Toyota Prius Prime some much-needed competition.

Honda reported 1,271 total Clarity deliveries in the U.S. this January. Of those, 1,192 were of the PHEV variety.

On a side note, Bradley Berman is working once again to reach out to other automakers and get exact numbers and/or splits going forward. It seems he’s making impressive progress, so our numbers may change in the coming days. Additionally, delivery figures may be more precise going forward. As we noted, our reporting and process is up for some changes moving into 2019. We’ll keep you posted on those details as the year moves on.

Keep yourself tuned in and refreshing the pages during the coming days as we put the numbers to the dialogue.

Questions entering January (with answers in italics as they come in):

  1. How will overseas deliveries impact Tesla Model 3 U.S. deliveries? (As expected, it appears Tesla has been successful in producing and shipping most Model 3 vehicles to Europe and Asia. Still, based on our estimates, the automaker was able to more than triple any other automaker in terms of U.S. EV deliveries, at some 6,500 on the month.)
  2. How is the U.S. federal EV tax credit and Tesla’s Model 3 focus affecting Model S and Model X sales? (Model S and X sales were just above flat as compared to January 2017 and 2018. The automaker delivered 950 Model X crossovers and 875 Model S sedans in the U.S. last month according to our data collection.)
  3. Will the Honda Clarity Plug-in Hybrid continue to be the PHEV champ, pushing past the Toyota Prius Prime once again? (As expected, Clarity sales are way down for the first month of the year. Still, Honda sold an impressive 1,271 in total, to beat the Model S, Model X, Chevy Bolt EV, and Chevy Volt overall. Additionally, PHEV (1,192) sales were enough to top the Toyota Prius Prime last month, with its 1,123 deliveries.)
  4. What’s the story with Chevrolet Volt sales in its final months? (As far as our estimates show, GM delivered 675 Volts in January.)
  5. How has increased production helped dwindling Chevrolet Bolt EV inventories and pushed deliveries up? (Despite reported increased production efforts, January totals for U.S. Bolt sales are down, at 925.)
  6. How will the announcement of the upcoming 2019 Nissan LEAF Plus (e+) impact Nissan LEAF U.S. deliveries? (LEAF sales are bleak at 717 for January, but this still parallels January 2016 and 2017 figures. It’s not really fair to compare LEAF sales from January 2018.)
  7. Has Jaguar found success with another notable increase in U.S.-based I-Pace sales? (No. Jaguar sold 210 I-Pace crossovers this January, which is down a touch from December’s 223.)

Also of note this January:

  • Honda delivered an estimated 1 Clarity FCEV
  • Toyota sold 77 Mirai fuel-cell vehicles

Last update: February 4, 2019 @ 8:50 AM ET

*Keep in mind that we use the words sales and deliveries synonymously. In order for a car to count as SOLD, it has to be paid in full (or leased) and be in the possession of the consumer.

***InsideEVs’ journalist Wade Malone provided in-depth, detailed, and heavily researched sales estimations and related analysis.


(Previous year’s monthly results can be found on our Historical Charts page)


UPDATE: Beginning in 2019, we’re archiving our model recaps page and will no longer update it. We’ve found that much of the information no longer applies going forward, and very few people seem to be visiting the page. Additionally, the most pertinent information about top-selling models is always present in our monthly report card. We’ve also moved to publishing several sales reports each month with information pertaining to multiple models.

To view our Archived Individual Plug-In Model Sales Recap For Major Models, click here. It contains an individual run-down of each vehicle’s monthly result and some analysis behind the numbers.


2019 Monthly Sales Chart

2019 U.S. EV SALESJANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDECTOTAL
Tesla Model 365006,500
Honda Clarity PHEV11921,192
Toyota Prius Prime11231,123
Tesla Model X950950
Chevrolet Bolt EV925925
Tesla Model S875875
Nissan LEAF  717717
Chevrolet Volt*675675
Ford Fusion Energi557557
Chrysler Pacifica Hybrid**436436
BMW 530e*376376
Kia Niro PHEV*279279
BMW i3 (BEV + REx)  255255
BMW 330e*216216
Jaguar I-Pace210210
Audi A3 Sportback e-tron*175175
Volkswagen e-Golf  164164
Porsche Panamera E-Hybrid*150150
Mercedes C350e*140140
Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV133133
Volvo XC90 T8 PHEV*9595
Mercedes GLE 550e*9292
Volvo XC60 PHEV*9090
smart ED  8383
Honda Clarity BEV  7878
Mercedes GLC 350e*7474
Hyundai IONIQ PHEV*7373
Fiat 500e**  7272
BMWX5 xDrive 40e*7171
Porsche Cayenne S-E*6565
Mini Countryman SE PHEV*5050
Volvo S90 T8 PHEV*3535
Hyundai IONIQ EV3434
Kia Optima PHEV*3030
BMW i82323
Cadillac CT6 PHEV*88
Mercedes S550e*88
BMW 740e*66
Hyundai Sonata PHEV*44
Mercedes B250e  11
Ford Focus Electric  00
Kia Soul EV00
Ford C-Max Energi00
2019 U.S. Sales Totals17,0400000000000017,040
2018 U.S. Sales Totals12,00916,84526,44319,62324,30725,02929,59836,34744,54434,07442,58849,900361,307
2019 Worldwide Sales*
2018 Worldwide Sales*82,00081,000141,000128,450159,346160,894144,975175,362206,500214,800237,553286,3672,018,247

Above – 2019 Monthly Sales Chart For The Major Plug-In Automakers – *Estimated Sales Numbers – Reconciled on Monthly or Quarterly Totals, ** Estimated (Based on State/Rebate Data and other reports). BEV models are designated with the icon.

Categories: Audi, BMW, Cadillac, Chevrolet, Chrysler, Fiat, Ford, Honda, Hyundai, Jaguar, Kia, Mercedes, Mini, Mitsubishi, Nissan, Porsche, Sales, Smart, Subaru, Tesla, Toyota, Volkswagen, Volvo

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96 Comments on "January 2019 U.S. Plug-In EV Sales Report Card"

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Toyota’s sales really plummeted. Their hybrids are down 50% YoY. They sold 11,361 of all hybrids last Jan and only 5,641 this Jan. They seem to have an error in RX or NX hybrid sales though, they duplicated those figures, so there will be small percent different than what I post, but not significant.

There’s no inventory, so of course sales are down. The 2 new models of Prius and the next-gen RAV4 are just rolling out now. As for Prime, we all know the 2019 has been suspiciously limited. Only 150 in the entire country.

That makes sense. They have 700 or so on cars.com, but yeah, I guess new gen Rav4 could cause a drop, hadn’t realized that was coming now. So without the drop in Prius and Rav4 hybrids I guess I would suspect similar to other January sales.

Hopefully this year marks a stop in the decline of their hybrid sales. That new Rav4 looks a lot better, curious to see if sales will match that. What is changing with the Prius? The AWD model, or something else?

Toyota is also not giving us a complete picture of their US hybrid sales. For no rhyme or reason, Toyota doesn’t break out sales of its 52 mpg Camry hybrid, Avalon hybrid, and Highlander hybrid on its monthly sales charts.

https://corporatenews.pressroom.toyota.com/releases/january+2019+sales+chart.download

Interesting, so maybe that might be where some of the Prius buyers are going. I didn’t even know they made hybrids of those. Even if it is just a tiny fraction of the vehicles it still might be a few thousand and account for the loss in the Prius.

Nationwide I see about 4,000 of those models (Avalon, Camry, Highlander hybrids), so as a very rough estimate maybe 1500 or 2000 per month sales for all of them? Not enough to count for the drop in the Prius, but definitely offsets it some.

By 2 models of Prius, are you referring to Prius and Prius C. I think they launched Prius C-2019 few months ago, but the sales are plummeting as they reduced the trims from 4 to 2.
Prius liftback is redesigned and we can expect some sales increase.
But Jan-2019 is probably the lowest sales month for Prius.
No idea what they are going to do with Prius.

I think the 2 new models are the refreshed 2019 Prius and Prius e-AWD with less “polarising” or tactful design that might’ve alienated a few buyers.

A Prime with a seamless boot floor and 5-seat carrying capacity would be the answer to Toyota’s Tesla-woes.

It’s like those documentaries, aboard the Golden Hind, where they stop by to film in an area of the great river where drought has cut off all the fish in an ever shrinking pond of water.
That’s what legacy auto is facing, as regards their antiquated offerings.

The prime has been out for more than 21 months.

Only in select states. Much of the middle of the country hasn’t had more than token shipments.

I don’t think model 3 sell only 6500 this month

That is US deliveries, remember, there might be like 15,000 in transit (shipping to Europe, east coast, etc). Just how Tesla does business and why they only report quarterly sales.

Tesla is sending (literally) boatloads of Model III’s to Europe. I wouldn’t be surprised at all to learn that 12,000 ended up outside of the US in January (or bound for points outside)

What? A Honda in 2nd place? Time to check if the sky is still blue.

I suspect that might not last if Toyota has enough Prime inventory (they seem awfully low), but so is the Clarity too. To be frank, the Clarity is a much better deal than the other PHEVs. Just took people a while to notice it. Twice the range of the Prime, way more room inside than a Volt, superb gas mileage on gas. Really a great car.

I am sure it is a one and done from Honda, but either way makes a nice hopping point before I swap it out for a long range rapid charging BEV in 5 years. One that likely won’t be a Honda…

The stage appears to be set for Prime. Seeing an early 2020 rollout with a mid-cycle update is looking quite realistic.

I see Toyota as treating the Prime as a regular car they will continue selling and it seems the price and range are maybe more realistic for making profit, meaning they won’t lose money on it like Honda has to be doing with the Clarity PHEV. What I don’t understand is why Toyota is using up all their tax credits with it. Seems like a PHEV Rav4 with 20 kW battery or something would be a better way to use it (or what I would rather have).

The intended purpose of the tax-credits was for each automaker to use them to establish high-volume profitable sales which could be sustained without any subsidy. In other words, it was to fortify the everyday expectation of seeing a plug-in vehicle on the showroom floor. Whatever it would be, that vehicle needed to be able to compete directly with traditional offerings there at the dealer. This is why I got so frustrated with GM. Watching great engineering go to waste from stupid management decisions was sad. Enthusiasts made excuses, knowing in the end a compact hatchback would never appeal to GM shoppers. It’s really unfortunate Voltec wasn’t ever deployed in a vehicle like Equinox. Since Toyota customers still embrace cars, using up tax-credits on Prius makes sense. There’s simply no possible way for the next-gen RAV4 hybrid just rolling out now using the TNGA platform to be established long enough to take advantage of whatever upgrade Toyota has been working on. It would just cannibalize itself. Prius, on the other hand, would be able to take full advantage of an Prime upgrade. Just like you stated, it’s easy to see Toyota treating Prime as a regular car. With some clever repackaging… Read more »
Do Not Read Between The Lines

Toyota has treated Prime as a minor modification of the Prius HEV. They made it a 4 seater because they didn’t want to upgrade any other hardware.

But it’s a Prius hatch and decreasing numbers of people want the Prius. Over the last 5 years, sales have dropped in half. Sales in Japan fell by 1/3 last year.

But I would say that for now, I’ll reserve judgement on January numbers and wait at least a month. I expect that the Federal shutdown will have had a significant impact on purchases. I just think that the overall trend is towards eliminating the Prius.

That’s a good example of anecdotal observations leading to a conclusion no better than a guess, but seems sensible. Looking at the bigger picture (fleet & market), there’s reason for second guessing…

200k units times $7,500 is not trivial. That’s 1.5 trillion dollars. The biggest expense in a plug in is the battery. The federal tax credit turns the huge expense into a revenue stream for the manufacturer if played properly. If Toyota had done what Chevy did and offer the smallest size battery that still qualifies for the full federal tax credit (16 kWh), they essentially get $469 for every kWh of capacity. If their cost to make a kWh is $130, then they stand to profit nearly $5,5000 for each sale. Toyota is leaving $3,500 on the table with every Prime sale since their battery is nearly half the size as one that qualifies for the full federal credit. All manufacturers made the mistake of introducing hybrid technology on the smallest vehicles, where the benefit is also smallest. Take the first hybrid, the Insight. It gets nearly the same fuel economy with or without the EV system operational because it’s so lightweight. Hybrids should have started with the pickups and large SUVs, and trickled down to the smaller cars. In that way, plug-in hybrids would have also reaped the full benefit of federal tax credits. Instead the tax credits were… Read more »

I think that’s 1.5 BILLION dollars.

Is it $1,5000,0000,0000 or $1,50,00,00,00? I think that comment could’ve used some proof reading.

Back when Toyota introduced the Prime, high level executives were quoted as saying they saw it as the next generation technology that starts to break into the mainstream in the same way that the 2cnd generation Prius hatchback did. These first two and a half years of the Prime, they’ve sold a lot, especially when you look at the global sales, but they limited availability in the US, and they limited the capacity of the car to 4 passengers. So, they have two and half years experience on the next gen technology, and they still have gobs of tax credits to go before phaseout: more than 100,000 to go, IINM. I agree with John that we’ll see a mid-cycle refresh of the Prime following the roll-out of the Prius midcycle update. I sincerely hope that they will make the suspension changes necessary for the Prime to carry 5 passengers, and that they find a way to move the battery somewhere besides taking up needed hatch space. If they do those two things then the Prime will be poised for lift-off. If I were Toyota I would be game-planning that I would pass the tax credit trigger in about a year… Read more »

I just can’t get around the styling of the Clarity – surely they can do better. Its just embarrassing – I wouldn’t be caught dead in one.

Honda profits are down as reported in the news yesterday feb. 1 by 71% from a year earlier due to airbag recalls and flat sales.Honda & Toyota have no BEVs , they are MIA same with Subaru & Mazda , pity ,maybe more pain on the way.

6,500 Tesla Model 3 deliveries in the US in January 2019 still is a very substantial number.

We have gotten spoiled over the past two quarters. How much you want to bet the trolls will be hitting the online news aggregators with predictions of Teslas imminent demise. LOL!

In fact, only shorter sellers are intentionally comparing to Dec figures, LATimes had a hit piece where they said Tesla sales were down 75%!!! In the auto industry, you never compare to previous months figures. With Tesla you should only compare quarterly figures, but if we insist on comparing monthly, looking back at previous Jan, Tesla sales are up 346%.

Must have been vehicles in transit from Q4 as I believe all vehicles made in January are for Europe and Asia

Huh. Those Tesla estimates are way higher than I was expecting. Given Tesla shuttered the 75 S and X, I expected sales of each of those to be down a lot – maybe around 300-700 each.

Then for the 3, I don’t expect any 2019 production is going to the US so far. Those 1000 cars in transit at the end of last year would get delivered, but I figure the first week of January was spent retooling the Model 3 production line, not building cars for US delivery. Then once that production line spun up, all the Model 3s jumped on some boats to head to Europe… so I expected around 1000 deliveries of it in the US.

They took orders through the 14th. Orders after that would not have been produced, shipped and delivered in January, anyway. They still had 75D inventory for anyone who wanted one quickly.

Jaguar is certainly stocking the I-Pace. There’s 3 in stock at my local dealer – and Allentown, PA is, one would imagine, a backwater for Jaguar.

I-Pace in Stock? Wow!
AFAIK, they are build to order only.
There is a 5 to 6 month wait for a new one (a nephew works for JLR). Perhaps they were 1) their showroom model, 2) their demo car and 3) one for delivery to a customer.

Maybe you see something different but those all look like regular listing photos to me.

They tend to do that too in Europe. Just having a model that sells the most and have that on stock. Than you could argue about the colour but order one and wait or just buy the one they have.

Jean-François Morissette

Were you able to find some Subaru numbers? Not even in registration data for California or something for December 2018? I am quite curious

Which Subaru is EV? Or are you being sarcastic?

Jean-Francois Morissette

They have to comply with Zero-émission law and thus recently introduced a Crosstrek PHEV

As far as compliance PHEV’s go, it is actually pretty nice. Symmetrical All-Wheel Drive and better numbers than the Outlander PHEV

I was surprised the see the Crosstrek PHEV is on the fuel-efficient side for an AWD PHEV SUV: EPA comparison

For how much we panned it here when it came out, it does seem like an improvement over things one might reasonably cross-shop it with.

Maybe you guys should start dropping Plug-Ins off the list with how many BEVs shipping.

If you remove Tesla, PHV outsold BEV by almost factor of 4.

Maybe they should have minimum range requirement for plug-ins. Say 50 miles. We don’t know what % of the plug-ins are being driven in EV-Mode.

In China, the minimum range is 50 km on NEDC (about 20 or 25 miles EPA). Why most PHEVs are moving to that range.

Two plugin charts: Real Plugin’s – Bad Plugin’s.

If you remove Tesla, there’s no real EV revolution happening.

I would conquer. But what does it imply, no real revolution, or just that a 200 miles of range required with other compelling features. Only other vehicle with such range is Bolt and it’s doing okay, but just looking at a bolt tells me it’s a sub 25k car when compared with similar ICE vehicles. so buying one doesn’t give one the perception it’s a good deal even with tax incentives.

It will be interesting to see how the 2019 LR Leaf does as well as the Hyundai Kona electric, both with well over 200 miles of range. Hopefully these will ship in significant numbers. If there is a true EV revolution, these two cars should do well.

Scary.

Tesla is the only 100% EV maker and they are the champions of the overall plugin World. So we cannot remove them.
Without Tesla, other automakers will simply discontinue their plugin/electric vehicles just like GM did with Volt.

Clarity 2018 deals are sweet in January:

2018, Honda, Clarity, Base, Sliver:
**MSRP: $34510
**Selling Price: $24100
**Monthly Payment: $315.18
**Cash Due at Signing: $1000
**MSD:0
**Incentives: after purchase CVRP $1500 and PG&E $800 Rebate

**Months:36
**Annual Mileage:12k

It’s a little better in SoCal….by about 500-1000.

More good lease deals (might have to wait a day or so for latest deals):

http://ev-vin.blogspot.com/

Remember the days years ago (2013/14) when the i-MiEVs were being pushed out the door with $69/month leases?

Real Jelly Beans from the candy shop are almost more expensive than Leasing the Rolling Jelly Bean (i-MiEV $69. / mo.).

I wonder if any Tesla’s arrived in Europe or China yet.

Glovis Captain reaches Belgium on February 5th with a boat load of Tesla Model 3’s:

https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/details/ships/shipid:3379583/mmsi:538006167/imo:9707015/vessel:GLOVIS_CAPTAIN

Any have arrived. Some US specs. units and some local units for test-drives. But the first large batch deliveries are a few days away.

Well total US January 2019 numbers are higher than January 2018.
I think most US 2019 monthly sales will beat 2018 sales.
If tariffs don’t go back to 40% in China, Tesla will sell over 500,000 vehicles globally.

Not this year. They say 360-400k.

Which is what, 50% growth? Probably 50% again the next 2 years? Not bad. They will probably pass some of the small established makers in revenue this year, like Mazda. Last quarter was similar revenue to one quarter of Mazda.

Could always be they manage to sell 500.000 cars. I think they’ll try, at least, as it would be both a symbolic and hystoric achievement and a revenge over the inaccurate self-claim of being able to do that in 2018. I’m a bit skeptical of really aiming only to 360-400k as it would imply no significant ramp up of Model 3 production compared to now.

They’re sustainably over 5K/week and aiming toward sustainable 7K/wk on Model 3. S/X are likely to be stable. So if you’re generous and use 6.5K/week and 50 weeks of production we get 325K Model 3 this year and another 90-100K S/X.

Can’t wait to see the reveal of Y and the pickup.

Total US January 19 are 4500 > January 18 entirely due to Model 3.

And January weather has been brutal.
No one is going to be shopping for a car in an Arctic Blast.

Tesla is building a factory in China. This will not be relevant by year’s end.

WOW…the numbers are in…and they sure suck!
Take the Model 3 out and you have negative growth YoY!

Correct. People want EVs made by Tesla. And brand loyalists that are afraid of owning a Tesla want to try their brand in an EV.

What i wonder is how many of these M3 buyers wanted to switch to ev and how many wanted a Tesla.

Wanting a Tesla is a sub-set of wanting to switch to EV.
A Tesla ICE would have zero appeal.

I presume there’s plenty of BMW M3 owners who’ll switch asap to a Model 3 just to show to their Jonses.

They are working at full capacity, numbers are smaller because they are shipping a lot of them in Europe and I thonk they stop production for one week for retooling, domestic sales are down, but I think they are good globaly

I think you’re a bit optimistic on the Ford Fusion Energi. They’ve never sold over 700 in January, and this is the last year of the model (losing interest) plus all of my local dealers have them listed as “ordered” but don’t have any for me to test drive. You can’t sell what you don’t have.

So a down January for Model 3 outsells i3 for all of 2018?

Scale.

Good catch.
BMW has got to do something with i3.
Probably a redesign with a bigger battery, lower height for better mileage and above all much lower cost.
For the $44,000 anyone will go for Model-3 MR which goes 260 miles and takes 5 passengers and offers much more passenger/cargo space.

I’d say give the car a slight stretch to enable 4 regular doors, and keep with the incremental improvements. With a normal 5 passenger 4 door hatch configuration, it will appeal to a lot more families.

Tesla still got an 80% market share on BEV sales in the US for januar.

Still Tesla Model-3 is the market leader by a factor of 5.
If they can manager to build 30,000 Model-3 / month and export 60%, then it will leave only 12,000 for USA which means overall Tesla sales will remain the same as last year.

With Volt going away and others just fooling us, expect the market this year to be the same as last year while China will skyrocket.

If Jaguar has sold 110 units of I-PACE, then the total sales comes to 17,009 which is 5,000 more than Jan-2018.
This is 42% increase.

Jan is normally a very low sales month, but this year, it could be even more lower.
Whether its because of government shutdown or polar vortex or both is not known.
Toyota suffered 7% sales dip.
Nissan suffered 20% (Because of absence of Mr. Carlos Ghosn).
Benz: 25% down.

Just like GM, Ford also started reporting on quarterly basis. So both are following Tesla.
How long before all other automakers start doing the same.

Yes, I looked and I couldn’t find any other car maker besides Tesla that has ever delivered 6500 EV’s in one month the US. Much less done it while having shiploads of the same model headed overseas in the same month.

Even if Tesla Model 3 sales are “only” the same as last year, that is still an order of magnitude larger number of sales than any non-Tesla EV.

And serial anti Tesla trolls and shorters like Another Euro will continue to move their FUD goalposts no matter what.

Nissan probably made a bet that its Variable Compression Engine technology that they applied in Altima will be a big game changer and will challenge Electric Vehicles. They made a fool of themselves with Altima suffering 40% sales decline last month. Overall Nissan sales went down 20% with only Leaf making big gains and that too last year sales was very low because of the outgoing model.

If Tesla launch the Model-3 SR with the $35,000 price tag, then all these compliance car makers will go down.

I wonder how much of this is Osborne Effect with all the future EV’s being pushed by ICE car makers, on top of all the normal seasonal Jan sales dip, and the weather, and the shutdown?

It seems like only thanks to Tesla there is a higher EV adoption. Without Tesla sales would be down, which kind of shows that old OEMs are not really on board when it comes to EVs.

There are just a few on board. The biggest one has yet to reveal their car this year. But that could be a huge succes.

The Plug-In sales total in the US in January 2019 is less than 20,000 units.

Will February 2019 also be less than 20,000 units?

Take out the growth due to Model 3 and overall growth rate is 4.1%
Take out Model 3 all together and the market is DOWN 11.7%

Model 3 is the EV world’s one hit wonder. The rest of the market is not doing well.

Lots of promising models on the horizon – we despritely need to get more successful models into production.

Kudos to Jaguar in getting the I-Pace sales numbers over the 200 threshold. Hopefully the I-Pace can surpass the BMW i3 sales numbers in the next few months.

I suspect supply will be heavily restricted due to worldwide demand. Maybe 200 is what we see per month in the US? Hard to say.

To be fair, the drop in Non Tesla EVs is likely caused by the Model 3. PHEVs seem to be having slow growth regardless of Model 3.

The rest of the market has a huge disadvantage. The Tesla Model 3 doesn’t have a car like the Tesla Model 3 that it has to compete with.

If we’d had 17109 sales in September 2017, just 16 months ago, it would have been the #5 month of all time.

Now, it’s “only” a 42% increase Y/Y, and we (or at least I) consider it to be very disappointing.

I wonder if this is the last time we’ll have monthly sales below 20K?

Can you please please please offer the same list minus all cars with an ICE? Many just want to compare EVs to EVs and not include any hybrids. Thanks!

Give it a rest. The list includes both and always has. BEVs are delineated by a battery symbol. Use the data to make your own spreadsheet if you want a different chart.

Hyundai sold/Leased 35 Nexos in the U.S. in January, and IEVS should keep track of them just as they do with the Mirai and Clarity FCEV.