German Agency Wants To Set Minimum Electric Car Sales Quotas Per Automaker

7 months ago by Mark Kane 12

Volkswagen Passat GTE

German plug-in electric car sales typically exceeds 1% of new car sales each month, but it seems that for the the head of Germany’s Federal Environment Agency (UBA) it’s not enough.

UBA’s Maria Krautzenberger said that to reach climate targets (12 million EVs by 2030), the government must set minimum quotas of plug-ins to be sold by automakers (taking an example from California).

“‘I know this is controversial, but it’s been successful in California, and they’re now introducing such quotas in China. Quotas give the makers security of planning.

We’ve done the maths: if we want to hit the CO2 reduction target for traffic for 2030, we need 3-12% of the fleet to be electric by 2020, 30-32% by 2025, and 60-70% by 2030.’”

Plug-in electric car registrations in Germany – February 2017

On the other hand Krautzenberger criticizes the car industry and German government subsidies for diesel cars.

“‘The boom in SUVs shows that current subsidies for diesels are simply wrong. The average CO2 emissions of the newly approved diesels are higher than for petrol cars.
The car industry is using diesel to keep high-powered cars on the market. That has completely wiped out the CO2 advantage that diesels used to enjoy over petrol. The subsidies for diesel are simply making oversized cars with high consumption more attractive. The environment hasn’t gained at all.’”

Minimums for EV adoption?  Sounds like a good plan to us!

source: European Federation for Transport and Environment

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12 responses to "German Agency Wants To Set Minimum Electric Car Sales Quotas Per Automaker"

  1. Chris O says:

    Maybe a complete ban on car emissions by a certain date is a better idea. Leaves the speed of the transition to the industry and the industry knows it’s all over for its beloved internal combustion business model by a certain date, it can completely focus on the transition.

    The year 2030 has already been floated by German government agencies though I doubt Germany could decide this on its own. Seems like an EU jurisdiction thing.

    1. Brian says:

      Despite decades of Corp FE averages and attempts at EV quotas, we haven’t gotten very far yet.

      I think it’s better to to just let gas/diesel sell based on market factors (i.e. no subsidies) and slap on a green tax that increases at a steady rate – start at current levels and increase by 2 percentage points/yr. Most places would be over 50% tax by 2030, many way before that.

      Then take the pool of green tax money and subsidize charger infrastructure (and EVs if you like).

      Word of mouth (i.e. people bragging) about low cost of transport in EVs (or even public transit) would then drive people out of ICEs naturally.

      1. Brian says:

        Forgot to mention that this drives people out of their old cars too…

  2. Ocean Railroader says:

    I think what’s limiting EV sales now in Germany is the lack of quick chargers. In that now Toronto Canada there going crazy building them left and right and they are getting fairly dense. But in a lot of places in Germany there are not that many chargers.

    I would find it logical that EV sales would pick up quickly in Canada as a response to the massive build up of chargers.

  3. (⌐■_■) Trollnonymous says:

    Setting a minimum qty with incentives is the smarter way to get manufacturers to build and sell EV’s.

    Here, in the US were BASSACKWARDS, we set a “Cap” on how many a manufacturer can qualify for incentives then feather off the incentives…….lol

  4. Mikael says:

    “We’ve done the maths: if we want to hit the CO2 reduction target for traffic for 2030, we need 3-12% of the fleet to be electric by 2020, 30-32% by 2025, and 60-70% by 2030.”

    That say of the fleet, not new sales.

    30% of the fleet in 2025 would mean 100% plugin sales by 2020 at the latest.

    1. wavelet says:

      Yes, I noticed that too, and achieving 3-12% share of on-road vehicles in 3 years seemed pretty much impossible, given the 10+ years lifecycle of cars.

      However, it looks like an unclear translation. This is the original German:
      http://www.zeit.de/mobilitaet/2017-03/umweltbundesamt-elektroautos-quote-autoindustrie-maria-krautzberger :
      “Wir haben ausgerechnet: Wenn wir das CO2-Minderungsziel im Verkehr für 2030 erreichen wollen, bräuchten wir bis 2020 eine Quote von drei bis zwölf Prozent…”

      So, it’s the quota (for new-car sales) which will need to be 3-12%, NOT the total % of registered vehicles; the translation by Transport & Environment which InsideEVs used is ambiguous (the word “fleet” appears nowhere in the German original); I hope the article is clarified.

  5. Four Electrics says:

    One percent is nothing. Even natural gas cars sell more than that.

  6. Mike I. says:

    If they want to drive the conversation with CO2, then they should just cap the corporate average CO2 levels to the point that will accomplish their targets. Daimler already said that they will accelerate their plug-in plans because they’re not hitting their targets. If customers are demanding high performance cars, then they need to provide strong electric output and useful all electric range in their plug-in hybrids. IMHO, the Power e-Drive concept from BMW is the way to pull their existing customers into the low emissions regime.

    While they’re at it, European regulators need to revamp their testing methods to better align with real world vehicle operation. The tests today are too easy to ‘game’.

  7. pjwood1 says:

    “Minimums for EV adoption? Sounds like a good plan to us!”

    Not to me. I’m also with pollution targets, and letting auto-makers choose the technology which reaches them. No matter how rational the conclusion minimums are needed may sound, the other ~90% are more apt to reject being forced.

    There are compelling ways to sell EVs without this level of Big Government.

    1. L J Grzyl says:

      We like big government in Europe – this means big democratically choosen representation instead of big corpo ,inheritance based ,greed fuelled bunch of mates.

    2. Mikael says:

      Auto makers has shown that they can’t be trusted with that responsability.
      Big government is exactly what is needed to finally get the automakers, and all automakers not just a few, to do what they should have done already.

      Big government is something good, elected by the people, working for the people and with the good of the people in mind.

      We need more governments stepping up, they have an important role to play.