Financial Incentives and Charging Stations Per Capita Versus EV Market Share

MAR 16 2014 BY ERIC LOVEDAY 19

As Green Car Congress suggests:

“A study by researchers at the Delft University of Technology (The Netherlands) examining the impact of financial incentives and other socio-economic factors on electric vehicle (both plug-in hybrids and battery electrics) adoption in 30 countries found that financial incentives; the number of charging stations (corrected for population); and the presence of a local manufacturing facility were positive and significant in predicting EV adoption rates for the countries studied.”

However, we find that these two graphs show little correlation between financial incentives/charging stations per capita and EV market share.

Obviously, there’s info to be gleaned from these two graphs, though we’re not too sure what info is to be found.  So, we’ll leave it to you to see what’s there to be seen.

*The Delft team collected and analyzed data from 30 countries for 2012. Data came from Australia; Austria; Belgium; Canada; China; Croatia; the Czech Republic; Denmark; Estonia; Finland; France; Greece; Germany; Iceland; Ireland; Israel; Italy; Japan; the Netherlands; New Zealand; Norway; Poland; Portugal; Slovenia; Spain; Sweden; Switzerland; Turkey; the United Kingdom, and the United States.

Public Charging Stations Versus EV Market Share in 2012

Public Charging Stations Per Capita Versus EV Market Share in 2012

Source: Green Car Congress

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19 Comments on "Financial Incentives and Charging Stations Per Capita Versus EV Market Share"

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Yay graphs
Boo correlation

Yeah, the visualization method they chose is pretty ridiculous. Apparently they haven’t heard of the scatterplot.

Also, 2012 numbers are outdated – Israel a case in point.

Actually, Israel a case in point in more than one way. I don’t know how these people gleaned their data, but in 2012 pretty much all that was available for Israelis was to lease a Fluence ZE from Better Place. Better Place did not pass on the government tariff discount to the customers, in any way shape or form (which was one reason they went from media darling to pariah in no time, even as they kept issuing marginally better lease deal every months).

In short, when all your dataset is 30 countries, you better make sure your data quality is up to snuff.

That, and learning the secret art of the scatterplot.

That’s the problem with studies like these. By the time all the data is collected and analyzed the data is obsolete and meaningless.

Good info, thanks Eric.

Based on the lack of correlation of financial incentives in the US, it might be time to rethink Bush’s EV Tax Cuts, especially for the wealthy.

Should Bush’s EV Tax credits apply to the 1% wealthiest in this country? Should tax payers subsidize products from billionaires ?

Or industries that make record profits (oil companies)?

So, troll picks supporting Exxon over Tesla. Niiiice long term thinking, there. 😉

So Anon troll picks fracking for natural gas to propel EVs over incentivizing public transportation ?

Nice long term plan you have Anon. Your plan rewards big oil companies who supply natural gas and for big coal companies who provide the power for EVs.

Your plan is heavy on carbon use, heavy on the use of scarce natural resources and light on individual responsibility which only propagates inefficient transportIon methods. A great plan indeed. Not.

Solar?

You should try doing a little math. Natural gas is hardly a substitute for oil revenues.

1000 cu ft of natural gas (~$5) in a 60% efficient plant will give you 180 kWh, and drive a Model S over 500 miles.

To drive a luxury car that distance, you need 25 gallons of gasoline, which needs more than 1 barrel of oil (~$100) to make. Even if you only look at the wholesale gasoline revenue, that’s still $70.

Even when ignoring green generation, EVs are a >90% loss of revenue for fossil fuel companies.

For the financial incentives, it appears that Canada is credited with zero in the graph. It is true that the Federal government in Canada doesn’t offer any incentives to purchase EVs.

However, the two largest provinces, Ontario, and Quebec offer generous rebates on EV purchases.

Is there really a +$30.000 finanacial incentive to by EVs in Denmark? And almost no sales…

Denmark has a wonderful public transportIon system.

Denmark is very ‘green’ and understands that driving an EV is not a zero emission, carbon neutral solution.

The US is trying to propagate an unsustainable one-person-per-car solution by pretending vehicles running on natural gas and coal are somehow better than other alternatives.

Denmark has a population density of 333 per square mile vs the USA at 84 per square mile.

Comparing the optimal solutions for the two countries is pure propaganda.

It is like saying what is best for London is best for Siberia.

Natural Gas, Hydropower, and to a lesser extent coal is a short term solution until the efficiency of solar panels overtakes natural gas.

In a free society you can’t force people to live the way central planners fetishize about the future.

Yeah, at $33.000 per vehicle financial incentives “central planners” are more or less throwing EVs in the face of a stunned “dense danish population” refusing to use the crap… 😉

US culture isn’t merely trying to move to a once car per person solution. It has already embraced it, did so decades ago, and will continue to do so for the foreseeable future.

There’s nothing unsustainable about it, either. Automated driving will improve traffic twofold if not more, and a Tesla-like drivetrain uses no rare earths and is quite recyclable.

The US has more than enough space, materials, labor, and energy (which is getting cleaner by the decade) for one EV per person. Let people live their life.

The chart shows how most cultures and vehicle dealer franchises fail at attracting new EV buyers with agressive education, stocking available and compelling product, sufficient infrastructure, helpful subsidies, etc.. I guess no one drives EVs in Mexico?

Why no fuel costs? Gas/Diesel vs. Electricity seems like it would have some influence.

It might be hard to track with tiered rates and TOU plans, but at least throw gas prices on the graphs.

We’ve all heard the line, usually attributed to Einstein, that one should make things as simple as possible, but not simpler.

These graphs point out the wisdom in that advice, as they leave out far too many important details, as others have already detailed.

Well, there is a value called significance in professional statistics. You can actually calculate that. I doubt there is much in these numbers.