China Becomes Latest Country To Consider The Ban Of Gas, Diesel Vehicles

2 months ago by Mark Kane 8

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Given China’s very steep short term mandates for electric vehicle market share (~20% in 2025), it was really no surprise to hear that the country has kicked off a study on when to completely ban the sale of new conventional gas or diesel cars, as the ultimate goal is to transition fully to electric propulsion.

Sales of New Energy Vehicles in China – July 2017

Such a lofty goal has also been announced by a few other countries, and sets the direction for making the switch; although in many cases, the horizon of 2030-2050 is pretty non-binding in real world.  Reuters reports:

““Some countries have made a timeline for when to stop the production and sales of traditional fuel cars,” Xin, vice minister of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, was quoted as saying at an auto industry event in the city of Tianjin on Saturday.

“The ministry has also started relevant research and will make such a timeline with relevant departments. Those measures will certainly bring profound changes for our car industry’s development,” he said.”

In the near-term, China will gradually move from New Energy Vehicle (plug-in vehicle) subsidies to simply requiring a certain quota of plug-in car sales – which is the ultimate way to ensure compliance.

The near-term quotas (for zero emission credits) are:

  • 8% in 2018
  • 10% in 2019
  • 12% in 2020

We should note there is the possibly these benchmark goals will be delayed by one year (or punitive consequences for non-compliance set back), as more than a few manufacturers seem unable to make the switch to plug-ins fast enough.

By 2025, sales of NEVs are to be at least 20% of the market, which should help lower some of China’s emission problems.

source: Reuters

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8 responses to "China Becomes Latest Country To Consider The Ban Of Gas, Diesel Vehicles"

  1. Shoot says:

    If they ban them by 2025 it would be the best thing to happen to the world. Auto makers would have to get on it to compete in the worlds largest market.

    1. Kdawg says:

      Yes, being that China is the biggest market, this would definitely light a fire under some butts.

    2. Brave Lil' Toaster says:

      8% in 2018
      10% in 2019
      12% in 2020

      and your proposal of 100% in 2025 is completely bonkers. Even in China where they mandate such things OR ELSE, demand still has to meet supply, and costs have to come way down for that to happen, or Chinese citizens will simply revert back to driving to work on a bicycle. Again.

      1. Jeffrey Spaulding says:

        Demand isn’t the issue. Supply is the issue. The manufacturers cannot physically meet the demands as they are.

        Having said that, these type of challenges go a long way towards radical innovation. OEMs will either innovate and adapt, or die.

  2. ffbj says:

    The emperor has more problems than the peasants, though theirs are more pressing.

  3. ffbj says:

    A stab in the eye to Tesla shorts, the self-flagellants of the modern era.

  4. Ron M says:

    Automakers were always crying to policiticans about raising the CAFE standards in the USA and we had to wait 20 years for the standards to finally be increased. China will hold there feet to the fire and force them to do what’s necessary instead of playing politics.

  5. Pushmi-Pullyu says:

    When politicians in Western nations talk about banning sales of gasmobiles by 2035 or 2040, they’re just expressing a wish about what they hope for the future. Such plans that far in advance have no real meaning; they can easily be changed to reflect political reality as the date approaches.

    But in China, a country where the leaders of the Communist Party really do control the country in a totalitarian fashion, if they say they’re going to ban sales of all new gasmobiles by a certain date not impossibly far in the future… let’s say 2030… then China might well actually do that!

    I’m certainly glad I live in the free world, but there are certain advantages to authoritarian rule.

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