Chevy Volt Marketing: Dead on Arrival, or Pure Genius?

JAN 7 2015 BY CLARKSON COTE 102

2016 Chevrolet Volt's Exterior Was Revealed Sunday Night At CES

2016 Chevrolet Volt’s Exterior Was Revealed Sunday Night At CES

With the second generation of the Chevrolet Volt set to be unveiled this month (and recently revealed at CES), many people are speculating on what the specs will look like, and perhaps more importantly, whether GM will market the car to the masses.

Over the last four years, many fans of the Volt have been disappointed with the lack of marketing that GM has executed for the Volt, arguing that the car cannot be successful if people don’t know what it is.  While I’ve been in a part of this vocal group as well, I’d like to take an alternate position for a moment, namely that GM did precisely what it should have done for the first generation Volt.  Before you murder me in the comments section, please allow me to explain via a brief crash course in one aspect of marketing…

Any marketing majors reading this article are likely familiar with something called the product lifecycle.  Basically, the product lifecycle is the inevitable progression of a product through four lifecycle stages: Introduction, Growth, Maturity, and Decline.

Four Stages of a Product's Lifecycle

Four Stages of a Product’s Lifecycle

Introduction:

In this phase, the product is introduced to the market.  Revenues are slowly increasing, but profit may be negative for a time.  Initial sales of the product are low during this stage, as customers must learn about the product and its benefits before they decide to purchase.

This “individual adoption process” is actually characterized by many distinct stages.  Often times, in the case of a high technology offering, the “early adopters” come out first.  They are the quickest to learn about the product, see its potential, and buy it. These early adopters are willing to take more risk, and typically, they are also willing to pay more to have the latest and greatest product.

Growth:

In the growth phase, there is a broad diffusion of the product into the mass market.  In addition to the early adopters that began purchasing, an “early majority” crowd now joins in.  The product is marketed more rigorously, volume of sales increase, and the profitability of the product is increasing substantially.

Maturity: 

In this phase, sales growth begins to taper.  The “early majority” consumers are joined by the group referred to as the “late majority”

Decline: 

In this final phase, sales of the product actually begins to decrease.  Full market penetration and adoption has largely been accomplished through the early and late majority crowds, though some existing customer base (referred to as “laggards”) may still be purchasing the product.

Chevrolet's Price Skimming Strategy for the Volt has seen the MSRP drop by nearly $10k in 5 years.

Chevrolet’s Price Skimming Strategy for the Volt has seen the MSRP drop by $6,000 in 4 years.

In addition to this generalized product lifecycle, another marketing exercise would be how to price the product.  Here too, there have been vocal audiences at Inside EVs that felt the Volt was priced too expensively at first, and hasn’t decreased its price enough to appeal to the mass market.

However, there’s a couple approaches that a high technology product would typically take in the pricing strategy of a new product.  The most common is referred to as a “price skimming” strategy.

With a price skimming approach, a relatively high price is set first.  This typically works well: the early adopter crowd is willing to accept a higher price, and investments that went into developing the product can be recouped more quickly to help turn a profit sooner rather than later.

As the product traverses the product lifecycle, the price is slowly cut (or “skimmed”) to further appeal to the mass consumer base and capture additional market share.

So with that relatively short explanation of the product lifecycle and a related pricing strategy, I might propose the following:  Thus far, GM’s approach to marketing and pricing the Volt is precisely what it should be given the high tech offering.  Very little marketing and a high price is very well aligned with basic and proven marketing principles for a high tech product offering like the Volt during the introduction stage.

The Latest Variable: Declining Gas Prices (chart from GasBuddy.com)

The Latest Variable: Declining Gas Prices (chart from GasBuddy.com)

If GM does not increase marketing with the second generation Volt, then I would start to become concerned about whether they have a true desire to make it a success.

If all other variables were held constant in the economy, with the Volt 2.0 release, I would expect a small price reduction (on a dollars-per-EV-mile-rating basis), and a substantial increase in marketing for the Volt. However, all other variables are not constant, unfortunately. Oil prices are at new lows every day it seems, which could prevent GM from marketing the next-gen Volt as much as they want to given its position in the product lifecycle.

It’s easy to set our expectations high and be disappointed, especially when we may not fully appreciate the marketing intricacies that GM must try to optimize.  2 months ago, I would have published this article fully pardoning GM of any guilt over their present marketing efforts, provided they make a full marketing push for the second generation Volt; that’s just what marketing principles say they should do.

However, the oil prices of late have changed the tides a bit.  If GM does not market the second generation Volt as strongly as we all would like, we may need to keep in mind that lower oil prices are preventing the mass consumer base from looking at the vehicle seriously enough for a concerted marketing effort to pay off.

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102 Comments on "Chevy Volt Marketing: Dead on Arrival, or Pure Genius?"

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David Murray

I do see some of the logic. But not all new products are the same. For example, when Apple introduced the iPad or the iPhone, both were revolutionary products. And yet the marketing push was heavy right out the door. And it paid off, too.

Kent West

curious.. this logic seems all to deal with a product/car that could achieve a profitable margin at some point in product lifecycle .. the gen1 volt was assured to always cost GM about a $10,000 net loss on each unit if not more.. , I wouldn’t want to market that too much either.

Spider-Dan

Fox News logic at work.

Bob Lutz broke down the costs of the Volt and explained thusly:

“The Volt “variable cost” (labor and materials, without revealing any confidential GM information), looks very roughly like this: A Li-Ion battery today runs about $350 per KWh. The Volt’s is 16KWh, so that’s roughly $6000. Add $4,000 for the battery pack structure, the cooling, the high-voltage wiring, the motor and the power electronics. So, that’s the electric portion. Add about 20 hours of assembly labor which we’ll round to a very generous $1000. The dealer net price is, say, $37,000. We now have $26,000 left for the rest of the car, which, cost-wise, is about equal to a Chevy “Cruze” which sells for around $22,000 retail! (And the Volt has no costly conventional transmission.) Thus, the “Volt”, by my estimate, is either close to “variable break-even” or may be on the cusp of a positive gross margin.”

The only way you get the Volt “losing” $10k per unit is if you roll all the Voltec R&D costs forward. This is akin to saying that the first 100 iPhones lost Apple $1 million each, the first 1000 iPhones lost Apple $100,000 each, etc.

Andrew Diamond

Common industry estimates have the Volt at a variable cost of $26k a copy.

Fraser

Given the fact that Volt drivers still on average use gasoline I think around 25-30% of the time, lower gas prices make it even more compelling! iMHO if it was branded a Cadillac to begin with then people would not have balked at the price so much. Tesla has shown that driving electric is the new Luxury and so the Volt should have been branded. Unfortunately the ELR has gone too far up on the price scale but perhaps GM will eventually skim it down to the original level of the Volt.

ModernMarvelFan

The problem with ELR is lack of performance.

If ELR can beat CTS-V in performance, it would have sold like hot cakes.

If Volt could dust off a Mustang or Camaro in drag race, it would have sold 10x as much as it does today.

Lustuccc

Too high price was a good way NOT to sell them and make believe they tried, Don’t you think that engineers at GM didNt know that the ELR lacked performances?!?

And for the gas prices, a study exposed that there is no influence whatsoever on EV sales.
http://www.pluginamerica.org/drivers-seat/do-gas-prices-correlate-plug-vehicle-sales

Nix

That is one of the reasons why Tesla is so successful. It beats gas cars at their own game.

Mark Hovis
First off, good to see you writing again Eric. It is hard for me to understand what is best for marketing an EV when the market is still in its infancy. I do feel like word of mouth is the strongest and I am most critical of EV owners who throw stones at EV designs they personally do not approve of. I think the LEAF is ingenious and perfect for the market sector they seek to reach. I think the luxury Tesla Model S is our pride and Joy. And last but not least, I think the Volt EREV is the absolute best transition to the pure electric drive. You get all the experiences of all electric drive (AER) up to 100 mph with impressive acceleration and handling with the security of a gas extender. This is the perfect starting point for many who don’t quite trust or understand what is coming. So to all of my dear friends and EV brethren who muddy the water by saying the Volt is not an EREV, even though GM invented the term EREV, I say to you with the most sincerity I can muster, you are not helping the electric cause. I… Read more »
Brian

+1 The more plug-ins the better.

Now how about a true EREV with room for a family of 5, and all of their luggage for a week’s vacation?

Mark Hovis

true EREV. Hmmm sigh…..

Brian

Not sure what you think I’m saying here, but I certainly was not disparaging the Volt, nor implying that it is not an EREV. If that’s what you were thinking, then maybe you are just being oversensitive in the first place.

As far as I can tell, the only true EREVs on the market in the US are the Volt and the i3 REx. Both are 4-seaters.

The CMax Energi PHEV is not bad, as it gets plenty of performance in all-electric mode for my commute (yes, I have driven one). And it has 5 seats and more cargo space than a Volt.

But what I personally want is what I described – an EREV with enough to take a family of 5 on a week-long vacation. That means plenty of trunk space. And a fifth seat. Neither is a given in Volt 2.0. I also think that this form factor will have a much larger market appeal than the current form.

kdawg

I think there’s a huge market for this.. not sure why no automakers sell one. A family hauler that can go full electric for errands/work, but still take everyone to grandma’s for the holidays. The Outlander PHEV is the closest thing, but an EREV Dodge Caravan would be more desirable. I guess if you have the cash, you could get a VIA Van.

Brian

An EREV Caravan is about the only possible way you could get me to consider a minivan 😉

sven

How about a PHEV minivan with falcon-wing doors instead of those uncool sliding doors? 😉

Brian

No thanks. I live in snow country, and would rather not have snow dumped on my passengers because I’m too short to completely clear the roof. What about a PHEV small SUV with standard swinging doors instead of sliding ones?

MTN Ranger

The only car coming this year that qualifies would be the Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV, arriving in late 2015 to the US.

QCO

One point that often gets lost in the SUV discussion is that an SUV, by definition, is larger, heavier, and carries lots of cargo. That makes an electric SUV just as much of an electron guzzler as its ICE brethren is a gas guzzler.

So a Voltec based SUV is going to need bigger batteries, bigger tires, and a stronger drive train to meet both the EREV and performance expectations. That’s a significant incremental design change and will make it measurably more expensive.

There is a reason why all affordable EVs are all based on small and light weight platforms at this time.

I’m sure GM will evolve the Voltec to a utility form at some point (likely in a compact CUV form), but probably not until things move further down the cost curve.

The Outlander does not compare with the EREV Volt, it’s a plug in hybrid with a much smaller battery, shorter range, and will cost more. If you want that and can afford it, that’s OK. But it’s not in the same category as a Volt and direct comparisons are not really valid.

Josh Bryant

I would say the better compromise would be to increase the power and kWh of the Voltec drivetrain and use the identical system in both.

The Volt would be faster and have more range. The CUV/SUV would have less acceleration and ~30% less range, but the cargo space many people are asking for. Let the buyers make the tradeoff based on their preferences.

At least GM could increase the volumes (lowering cost) on the common components that would otherwise be unique to the Volt.

ModernMarvelFan

I agree with you said.

But I think GM can easily drop Voltec into a Crossover and then add anther Electric motor to the rear for 4WD and power boost.

The current generation of Equinox has the same wheel base only 7 inches longer than Chevy Cruze which is the same wheel base as Volt. They all share the next generation platform.

Scramjett

Yes! +10!

I’m Mfr agnostic (whether it’s Chevy, Nissan, Mitsu, or someone else). I’ll take anything under $50k with a plug that can seat 5 within reasonable comfort and hold 1 weeks vacation worth of luggage!

Scramjett

Don’t forget the Mitsu and its Outlander PHEV in that list! 😉

Victor

Hovis, thanks for your comment. The Chevy Volt is an extended range electric vehicle. It gives you what you want when want it with the efficiency that you need.

Mark Hovis

My comments, were trying to stay in tune with Eric’s premise of marketing. My comment was simply that word-of-mouth is the strongest form of marketing currently and often we critique models that do not fit our personal needs.

The average US number of people per household is still 2.54. Not to get too off track with that, I am a little sensitive of improper language used to explain the Volt driving experience. Brian is a regular contributor who is intelligent, articulate, and passionate about the cause. So maybe I hold his verbage to a higher standard with his language as well as being a little too sensitive myself. @Brian: Now that I know the boat is kept on Oneida, I’ll get you my pretty and your little dog too! =) (buddy)

Brian

I apologize for my unclear wording. When I said “true EREV” I meant to imply along the lines of the Volt – in complete agreement with what you had written. In my mind it was clear because it was followed by “with seating for a family of 5” which the Volt does not (yet) have.

As for word of mouth, I do talk up the Volt quite a bit. People ask me about my Leaf, which I love. As soon as they suggest that the range is a deal-breaker for them, I tell them about the Volt. I don’t try to convince them that 84 miles (50 in an upstate NY winter) is enough for 80% of their driving. Because I just don’t know. But isn’t it great to have options?

Do you have a boat on Oneida as well? You’ll never hear me coming with my electric outboard 😉

Brian

P.S. Thanks for the kind words.

Mark Hovis

My brother is in Cooperstown and his boat is electric too. I read all of your responses as everyone should that visits this site. You had made note of the fact on one of Ted Dillard’s boat articles.(viral stalker) Keepum coming Brian! You are an asset to the site!

Brian

Ah, you have a better memory than I do. But this does ring a bell. You and I had a conversation about boats at the time. And sadly, I had forgotten the whole thing.

Josh Bryant

+1 Mark

(and you haven’t fully channel James until you reply to your own comment) 😉

Rick Danger

At least once 🙂

ModernMarvelFan

+1,000

Thank you! I could have said this better myself.

I wish there are more people like you and less BEV purist nutjobs…

ModernMarvelFan

Correction:

“I couldn’t have said it better myself…”

I can’t type either…

EV

If the car is good it will become a success regardless of marketing (Ex. Tesla)

David Murray

That has not always worked out to be true with all products. There have been many times the superior product has been beaten in the market due to better marketing strategies. Beta vs. VHS is a good example. Or the Commodore Amiga would be another.

electric-car-insider.com

Many good products fail because of bad marketing. None of the major automakers, with the exception of Tesla, are doing much demand creation. Some, like Ford, actively hide their EVs.

They don’t do this because they are stupid. They do this because they are only forced to sell EVs in California and a few other states. So they comply with the regulations. But as pointed out in the Nov 14 edition of Car & Driver they don’t want to sell a single unit more than they have to.

This will change in 2017, as they ramp up sales (double) to comply with increased 2018 ZEV mandates.

It will also change as Tesla prepares to launch Model 3 and they feel more of a threat of technological disruption.

JakeY

That’s only because the Tesla doesn’t really have anything that is even close to it in the market. While for the Volt there are other options that while are still quite different, but are close enough to be cross shopped (like the Energi for example).

Josh Bryant

Tesla does do marketing, just not in the same way as auto OEMs. They also spend zero dollars on traditional forms of marketing (print, tv spots, web ads, etc.).

The SuperCharger network is booked as a marketing expense in the company’s accounting, so they do spend money on marketing.

Spider-Dan

The sales volume of the Model S would be considered a dismal failure for the Volt.

kdawg
Scramjett

Love it! 🙂

ModernMarvelFan

@Kdawg,

You are just awesome with charts…

Love your charts. Keep them up.

Ross Perot should have hired you to do his charts… =)

Priusmaniac

Actually a car producer should try to flatten his production so as to optimize the production line to 90+% capacity. In order to do that the price curve has to be the same as the bell curve above, so you actually start selling at a much lower price, then you increase it when the main market start to buy it and finally you discount at the end of the life. Starting with lower price for early adopters of a brand new product is counter intuitive but it really pays off in market buildup speeds which decrease your delay to full load production and therefore actually increase your profits. In the same time, you get a smother production at more or less constant rate, you also accelerate your product against the competition.

Priusmaniac

In a sense one could call that the big bang marketing because the product start in an instant due to low price and all the advertisement right from the start. It is like a pop concert, all the ads at once and lower prices for early tickets. Of course production lines can build several types of cars but it still required retooling, other molds, others press matrices, etc…

Justin W.

It worked for selling meth on Braking Bad…. 😉

Brian

Thanks for writing this up, Eric. Many of us enthusiasts underestimate the business side of the equation, and just want to see more plug-ins sold. The sooner the better!

I know it’s probably not your chart, but I’m curious as to why the profit would start declining during the “maturity” phase, even as revenues continue to climb. Is this because of continued price skimming? In other words, does a company typically continue to lower prices on a mature product? This seems counter to my experience and gut impression of what a “mature” product is.

David Murray

I imagine profits start going down in the mature phase because competition enters the market and so the price has to drop to stay competitive.

Josh Bryant

I guess I should have scrolled a little more before posting 🙂

Nix
Usually in most products, this represents the point where all the savings from moving to mass production, and savings from newer technology getting cheaper to manufacture have all already been exploited. When a new product is in the “Growth” phase, profits rise vs. revenue through cost savings in production. One of the characteristics of entering the “Mature” phase is that there are no more big cost savings to found in production. At that point, the cost of production tends to increase at the rate of inflation for labor and materials. Instead of production costs going down, they start going up. That cuts profits. At the same time, competition from new products tends to drive the sales price of your product down. Or at least the price gets stuck being stagnant against inflation. Like a .99 cent bag of candy getting stuck at .99 cents for years because that is what everybody expects to pay for that certain bag of candy. Price per unit dropping vs. inflation while costs rise in accordance with inflation causes lower profits. This is classic mature product market reality. The classic response from manufactures to keep their product from entering the “Decline” phase is to attempt… Read more »
Brian

Wow, thank you for the detailed analysis! Very insightful.

abc123

The big thing GM and dealerships should be advertising in this current situation (low gas prices), is that the Volt not only runs on battery, but also on gas.

Customers like options and this option (whether to run on gas or battery power) is something that BEV’s can’t match.

ModernMarvelFan

Yes, Volt was a “dual fuel” car back in 2011 EPA label.

GM can advertise that. It is all about freedom. Freedom to choose whichever source you want. Go after the freedom and choice banner.

But that won’t sit well with BEV purist. Then again, they already hate the Volt anyway.

JakeY

Actually GM refuses to do that because they refuse to market the Volt with any reference to it being a hybrid (even though the plug-in kind). The emphasis was always that it was an EV with range extender, which is why they avoid talking up the gas engine.

Nix

Jakey — That is correct. GM correctly identified that the hate-on for anything labeled “hybrid” rages strong among the masses that make up Chevy’s normal buyers. This led GM to avoid at all costs identifying the Volt with hybrids in an effort to evade all the Prius haters.

Green car enthusiasts often forget how harsh an environment EV’s and PHEV’s face in the mass market. If it weren’t for Tesla laying out suppression fire with their ultra-cool EV’s, the entire EV/PHEV sector would be being pummeled by attacks on their masculinity.

GM can’t sell the Volt to the mass market as being like a Prius hybrid, but better because it has a plug. Selling it as a leap-frog completely new technology is really their only choice.

Electric Car Guest Drive

> Tesla laying out suppression fire with their ultra-cool EV’s

lol, best turn of phrase I’ve read in a while.

JakeY

That’s not the reason I see. The reason is GM had lots of backlash from WKTEC (and subsequent rise in interest in electric cars), so they built the Volt in response as their own “electric car”. For that reason they must insist that the car they are building is an “electric car,” and “hybrid” became a dirty word for GM.

I don’t think it had anything to do with “Prius haters”. I’m sure GM would be perfectly happy with conquest sales from other brands, plus marketing a PHEV as a better hybrid worked perfectly well for Toyota and Ford’s Energi anyways.

Fishhawk

Maybe the approach (such that it was/is) has been wrong all along. Instead of advertising it as an electric car with range extender (EREV is too hard for people to grasp), advertise it as an ICE car (with good fuel economy) that has an all-electric mode. Seems like that is what Ford has done with the EVNow mode.

Stephen

In EU ads can quote >100mpg for PHEVs. However, in the USA, GM must quote EPA combined 38mpg for the volt. The Consumer sees this and thinks the Volt uses more gas than a Prius.

Calitran Dresdner

Check out Fishhawk’s and Boraski’s comments over at GM-Volt.com

Oh, Just before posting this I see Fishhawk is here too. Still, worth a look.

I don’t copy their posts here as they are their posts.

Their comments and ideas support this thread’s thinking nicely.

Paul

http://gm-volt.com/forum/showthread.php?152057

Calitran Dresdner

Typed in my own title name wrong. Opps.

In James fashion. That’s very funny.

Calitran Dresdener

Let’s get this right. Dresdener!

Nix
I went and read that thread at gm-volt.com. Since I don’t post there, I don’t have any problem paraphrasing here what was said over there…. =) The main idea seems to be to advertise the Volt as just another gas car that gets really good MPG. I’ve got a couple of problems with that. First off, GM would run smack into the argument of: “I can buy a gas car for $15K and buy a lot of gas with the extra $$$ it would cost to buy a Volt.” That’s an argument that GM doesn’t want to charge into head-on. It is just a swamp of bad math that GM doesn’t want to intentionally wade into. Second off, buyers are considering MPG much less with gas prices dropping than they did even just a year ago. In fact, lots of buyers have become tired of even thinking about MPG’s, and are really looking for some new reason to get excited about buying a new car. Saying that the Volt is like a gas car, but with a feature that many buyers are tired of talking about (and seem to be ignoring quite a bit recently) is NOT a recipe for… Read more »
QCO

GM recognizes the fuel saving argument is going soft fast with low gas prices.

In response to a question at CES, GM’s chief marketing guru implied the Volt marketing message will be directed more to the driving experience than mpg.

Epicurus

“lower oil prices are preventing the mass consumer base from looking at the vehicle”

This should be the marketing slogan:

“Fill up a Volt for the equivalent of a dollar a gallon!”

I doubt we will see gasoline fall to a dollar a gallon.

Nix

That’s no good. It opens the door way too wide for EV haters and GM haters to challenge the math. And since the math for electricity is so convoluted across the US, GM would be shooting themselves in the foot.

The last thing I want to do is to spend the next 10 years debunking bad math repeated hourly by anti-EV and anti-GM haters just because GM once ran an ad campaign that said that.

Nix
I completely agree with this article. GM now needs to enter the “Growth” stage, and all signs so far are that the 2016 Volt marketing is designed exactly to do that. The only part that I would somewhat disagree with from the story was that idea that GM didn’t put any effort into promoting the Volt in the early days. My recollection of the early days of the Volt are the complete opposite. GM spent a lot of time and resources on their nearly daily drip-drip-drip of minor details about the Volt during its development. That kind of steady, detailed drip-drip-drip of information doesn’t just happen by accident. GM intentionally ran a campaign to drip-feed the very enthusiast crowd that they needed to make up their “early adopters”. Personally, I think that sales campaign worked wonderfully. I believe it is part of why Volt sales squashed the Leaf in the early years. GM had buy-in from way more early adopters because they fed the enthusiasts a steady diet of what to talk about daily in all the EV sites. That led to lots of early sales. Now the 2nd Gen 2016 Volt has been nearly the opposite. Compared to the… Read more »
Scott Franco

The volt’s main customer is gone.

That is, the democrats no longer run congress nor GM any longer. The need to impress them with “green technology” is gone.

Back to big pickups.

Nix

Bob Lutz didn’t sell GM’s Board of Directors on the Volt because he’s a member of the Democratic Party, or because Obama was President, or because GM was getting a bailout.

He’s a strong Republican, and he made that pitch to GM’s board long before any bailouts. The Volt started on the drawing board while there was a Republican majority in Congress, and a Republican President.

The Volt wasn’t built for the reasons you suggest. I suggest you go back and read up about Bob Lutz and the original push to build the Volt.

Nix

Oh, and don’t forget that Obama and McCain basically arm wrestled to be the first to be photographed standing shaking hands with GM executives in front of the Volt prototype.

http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/2008-07-18-McCain-automobile-industry_N.htm

It is sad how badly members of McCain’s party have deteriorated in such a short time regarding things like the Volt.

Mark Hovis

Easy big guy, the world is larger than the city commute…see comment above about injecting personal driving habits.

Spec9

What marketing?

JSegal

I’m trying to wrap my head around the marketing point of view to this article. There seems to be this desire for GM to sell more units. That should be GM’s concern. As a consumer, my concern is that the Volt be a great car and meet my desires for quality and efficiency at the lowest possible cost.
Toyota has marketed Prius as an efficient all-around car that happens to be a hybrid. Volt has that same advantage. If GM can get a handle on build cost, the car will sell even in times of low gas prices. The public is beginning to see the Volt as just a smart, super efficient car. Work with that.

Nix

The more Volts that GM sales, the faster they recoup their R&D costs, and the more GM benefits from mass production.

You care because this hopefully will reduce how much you will have to pay to buy a Volt.

doudis2

Seems to me that another factor was the “work out the kinks” factor.

For one they did not roll the Volt out world wide to start with (still isn’t actually). Remember, the Prius was Japan only at first. Second is evident in that they totally redesigned the Volt for 2016. Everything is new. This is not cost effective, but they used Gen 1 to learn, and they started from scratch (sort of). Then they applied that knowledge to Gen 2. This may have been part of the plan from day 1.

I fully expect a marketing blitz for Gen 2, now the GM thinks that the finally got it right.