California Dreams Big by Sticking to Plug-In Vehicle Goal of 1.5 Million by 2025


It’s a goal that was first announced in early 2013 and it’s a goal California is sticking with.

1.5 Million or Bust

1.5 Million or Bust

California Governor Jerry Brown once again reiterated the state’s positive stance on plug-in vehicles.

In discussing the future of plug-ins, Governor Brown stood by California’s target of putting 1.5 million on its roads by 2025.

That 1.5-million target is indeed a lofty figure.  For comparison, the entire nation of Germany aims to have 1 million plug-ins on its roads by 2020.  California alone aims to basically keep pace with an entire country.

In actuality, California’s cumulative plug-in vehicle tally far exceeds Germany and it likely always will.

California won’t have to play catch up…that’s for sure.

While critics says Germany’s 1 million figure is out of reach, most (including us) agree that California is on track to exceed its 1.5 million target.

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12 Comments on "California Dreams Big by Sticking to Plug-In Vehicle Goal of 1.5 Million by 2025"

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What are the total number of registered vehicles in California? Might be nice to know to put the numbers in context of % of all cars on the road.

Something is unclear between the article and the embedded graphic. Is CA’s goal 1.5mil “Plug-in” vehicles or 1.5mil ZEV vehicles? the latter excludes PHEV and EREV’s. Does Germany’s plan include all plug-ins?

ZEV. So PEV and FCV (but we know FCV’s going to be low).

31,802,483 total
22,083,049 cars
5,061,180 non-commercial trucks

124,713 : Registered Electric Vehicles in Calofornia:

For Jan-Jun 2013:
– PEVs are 1.8% share of CA retail vehicle market
— BEV: 1.1%
— PHEV: 0.7%
– current rate of PEV registrations in CA is approaching 40,000 per year

Stat porn Brian. Nice one 🙂

Thanks for digging up the registration numbers guys. The goal basically means that 5% of all vehicles on the road are plug-in at 1.5 million. That is pretty impressive.

CA will make it easily. With so many more plug-in options coming available from most every manufacturer. From plug-in hybrids, extended range and full EVs there is something for everyone.

California: 155,779 square miles
Germany: 137,847 square miles

When I read some forecasts or look at the graphs about where we’ll be in 2020 or 2025, most display the outcome linearly i.e. we’ll see 10000 more EVs on our road per year every year, that number won’t increase. That’s it:

That’s assuming an outcome based on the sales we have today, but ignoring what could and what is likely to happen. The fact is: in 2020 California could be putting 1 million EVs on the road PER YEAR. We don’t know what’s going to happen, but we can make predictions based on probability, which is derived from turn projecting trends and occurences into the future. The trend at the moment is EV sales are growing and not linearly.

Any Shopkeeper knows the bigger your shop-window, pretty much always the bigger your turn-over. The EV industry today is comparable to Amazon when it was just selling books. Now it sells pretty much everything, the shop window is bigger, customer has more choice. Amazon sells more. I’m looking forward to that happening to the EV industry.

California making me proud. 🙂

California really has a lot of good reasons to do this. Due to geographic and micro-climate quirks we have some places that are really susceptible to pollution due valleys that become bowls trapped with local pollution. So that is a big reason to move to EVs (and is the main reason for CARB’s ZEV program). And we now have Tesla, a major manufacturer of EVs as a local business that both designs and builds EVs here. We also have lots of other EV development here . . . Zero motorcycles in Santa Cruz. VW has a research center and I’ve seen the electric golf on the streets here for years. GM also has lab here. So it is good for the environment and for business.

Spec, California makes me proud, too. Were it not for the leadership role CA takes, the rest of this country would not be where it is today in regards to renewable energy and electrified transportation.

My biggest daydreams revolve around some of the incentive programs CA has to spur their citizenry into spending their hard earned money to support the desired outcome. In my home state of Alabama, the Federal incentive is all you can be sure of, and IF you are on TVA power AND your local utility agrees to join the program, TVA offers retail plus a bit on renewable energy. No local incentives for EV’s.