BMW i3 Global Sales Forecast: 21,416 in 2014 Followed by ? in 2015 – BMW i8 Sales Forecasted Too

DEC 9 2013 BY ERIC LOVEDAY 9

BMW i3 - What Will the Global Sales Volume Be?

BMW i3 – What Will the Global Sales Volume Be?

We’ve got forecasted global sales figures here for both the BMW i3 and BMW i8.

BMW i8 Sales Globally Will be Strong Given Its Substantial Price Tag, Says IHS

BMW i8 Sales Globally Will be Strong Given Its Substantial Price Tag, Says IHS

Courtesy of the analysts over at IHS Automotive, we present what we believe to be the first projected sales figure for BMWs pair of “i”s.

Car and Driver reports the following after speaking with IHS:

“IHS expects global sales for the i3 to amount to 21,416 units next year and 22,480 in 2015, with 1,932 i8s expected to find homes in 2014 and 5,085 the year after.”

Those are global sales figures, not just for the US.

In terms of i3 sales, we see IHS as being spot on (30,000 units annually is basically max production volume for BMW in regards to the i3).  i8 sales are much more difficult to predict though, so we’re not so certain of the IHS’ forecast for that particular model.

What do you think of these IHS predictions?  Too high?  Too low?

Source: Car and Driver

Categories: BMW

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9 Comments on "BMW i3 Global Sales Forecast: 21,416 in 2014 Followed by ? in 2015 – BMW i8 Sales Forecasted Too"

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David Murray

“IHS expects global sales for the i3 to amount to 21,416”

I would like to know how they came up with such an exact figure? I mean, I could understand forecasting 21,000 or 22,000. But where did they come up with 21,416?

George B

They probably built a model for each market, and simply added the numbers together. I agree that it looks silly if the overall figure is not rounded up or down.

Tom Moloughney

I would be surprised if they can make much more than 20K of them the first year. The ramp up to full production will be slower than it is for their other cars. Everything about the i3 manufacturing process is different and they will likely increase production at a slower pace as they iron out the issues they run into.

Andrew

And there is a significant supply chain lag when it comes to shipping the CFRP panels and parts from WA to Germany for final assembly. That is on top of the usual battery constraints everyone seems to be having now.

Tom Moloughney

The panels are made in Germany. They only make the spools of raw carbon fiber in WA. All the molding and fabrication is done in Germany. They recently announced they will expand the factory and hire more workers in WA to accommodate what they expect to be a higher than expected demand.

Spec9

So, I guess they presume that Germany is going to pass some incentives to help move this car in Germany?

Bonaire

It’s going to be selling to incentive rich countries such as Norway, Holland and Denmark and perhaps UK at rates of 1000+ per month in the region.

Darren Schurig

On the over and under I am definitely gonna say over. There are plenty of incentives around the world and it is an amazing automobile, the demand will be there. Can they scale of production to meet demand? Absolutely. It’s BMW, making cars is what they do. Unlike some of the other nubes in the game they are long on automotive manufacturing experience and have the deep, deep pockets to pull it off. I am going to call it at 25,000 units moved in 2014.

Mikael

Way too low. They will be able to sell as many as they can produce. At least 20 000 in 2014 and surely reaching the max capacity of 30 000 in 2015 assuming they haven’t increased the max production.

I’m sure they could sell at least 20 000/year in the US alone. Add 10-15 000 in Norway, 10-15 000 in Holland and surely quite a few in Germany and that’s just a start since there will surely be a few hundred here and there or a few thousands as long as they sell them in different markets (North America + Europe).

They would probably sell well in South Korea and Japan too if they dared to challenge the local brands.