When Will a Plug-In Make the US’ Top 10 List of Best Selling Vehicles in a Single Year?
Seen above is the list of the Top Ten best-selling automobile in the US in 2012.
The lowest vehicle on that list, the Ford Escape, sold 261,008. Meanwhile, the best-selling plug-in vehicle in 2012, the Chevy Volt, sold 23,641 units.
Eventually, there will come a time when a plug-in makes the US’ Top Ten chart, but when will that be?
There’s no shot at a plug-in making the Top Ten chart for 2013, as the Chevrolet Volt is the current YTD sales leader at 14,994 through August. However, GM did sell 3,351 last month (an overall/all-time plug-in record) which if repeated over the course of a year would net 40,212 sold – still not that close, but better,
Predicting the future is not easy, but we think it’ll be at least 2018 before a plug-in land a Top Ten spot and by that time it’s likely that some of today’s plug-ins won’t still be on the market.
It seem entirely possible that Tesla Gen III electric could be the first to grab a Top Ten, but only if Tesla hits all of its targets (200+ mile range and sub $35,000 price tag).
But what say you? In what year will a plug-in break into the Top Ten and which plug-in will it be? Answers such as “the first plug-in to cost less than $20,000 with a range of XXX miles are acceptable” as are answers that only say which automaker will make the as-of-now unknown plug-in that’ll climb its way onto the chart.
Let’s see what we can come up with. Here is a look at what the plug-ins did in 2012:
Lead graphic via Kicking Tires