Netherlands Was The PHEV Capital Of Europe For 2015, But Quickly Bottomed Out In 2016

1 year ago by Mark Kane 8

Plug-in electric car sales in the Netherlands (data source: EV Sales Blog) – January 2016

Plug-in electric car sales in the Netherlands (data source: EV Sales Blog) – January 2016

39,000+ PHEV registered in the Netherlands in 2015 (source: EagleAID)

39,000+ PHEV registered in the Netherlands in 2015 (source: EagleAID)

EagleAID recently named Netherlands the European PHEV capital.

Not strange taking into consideration that in 2015 Netherlands recorded highest number of passenger plug-in car  registrations (over 43,000) of any country in Europe, and more than 39,000 were plug-in hybrids.

Nearly 10% market share for plug-in electric cars and record sales for country with population estimated at some 17 million is an achievement.  Netherlands estabished strong incentives for PHEVs, unfortunately changes to less favorable programs in January 2016 have already resulted in the loss of the country’s plug-in sales crown.

Under the new program, all-electric cars remain at 4% tax (so no rush/changes in sales here from 2015 to 2016), but plug-in hybrids move from 7% to 15% (while non-plug-ins stand at 21-25%)

“Last year’s breakneck pace of growth, albeit from the very low levels seen here the previous year, is due mainly, if not entirely, to last year’s sizzling PHEV demand in the Netherlands.

Encouraged by the mouthwatering savings still to be had by way of markedly lower Benefit in kind (BIK) taxes owing to the ownership or lease of a new company car, Holland’s money-wise company car users opted for the ownership or lease of more tax-friendly PHEVs in droves”

The PHEV hangover was fully visible in January (as demonstrated by  EV Sales Blog stats above), as total sales fell from nearly 16,000 to less than 600.

source: EagleAID

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8 responses to "Netherlands Was The PHEV Capital Of Europe For 2015, But Quickly Bottomed Out In 2016"

  1. Let’s see, what would the formula for this discovery be?

    7%+8% = 16,000-15,400?
    8% = -15,400?

    or maybe: 15,400/8=1925

    (Increasing the tax 1% equals an average sales loss of 1,925 PHEV’s. Increasing the tax by 8% equals a sales loss of PHEV’s totaling 8 x 1,925, or 15,400 vehicles!)

    By corollary, would dropping the tax from 15%, to 1% less than before (6%), have the effect on sales of rising back up to 16,000 Plus 1,925? (17,925!)

    1. Stephen says:

      No
      The bar graph clearly shows sales brought forward to beat tax change

    2. Mr. m says:

      You better compare January 2015 to January 2016 as January is always low… This means a drop from 2500 to 600. So your calculation would be:

      1900/8 = 237.5

      Meaning around 240 cars sold less per percent increase in tax. If the whole years is without increase and experience the same drop, the market share will be around 2.5% percent at the end of 2016 instead the high 10% in 2015.

      But normaly some sales are shifted forwards when a incentive suddenly ends, so the effect might be even lower. If you compare the sales drop between December 2013 and January 2014, the number where equal bad (96% down) and still 2014 was not a bad year compared to 2013 overall (down only 35%).

      Dec 2013: 9.300
      Jan 2104: 400

      Whole 2013: 23.150
      Whole 2014: 15.260

  2. IQ130 says:

    So it is time for all-electric cars in the Netherlands. But most people who have a company car require a decent range so we need cars like the Chevrolet Bolt (Opel Ampera-e in Europe).

    1. Mutwin Kraus says:

      Actually, Netherlands is a very small country with two great fast charge networks (Fastned and Allego). Unless you have to travel to France or into Germany, there really is no reason why a BEV would not work.

      1. Mr. m says:

        Ok, so you only drive around 150km a day (worst case). Which is why a BEV would be fitting. But maybe a fast charge every day is anoying or expensive?

        Most people live in cities and are street parking. So no charge at home is possible.

        What is your solution?

        1. tosho says:

          Why do you have to drive every day when you live in the city? Especially in a city that has probably a very good public transport system?

  3. Phaedrus says:

    In the Netherlands, due to the surge of mainly plugin-hybrids, there is a shortage of about 53.000 public charging points already… this leads to charge anxiety for bev drivers, especially when phev drivers do not respect charging etiquette and never move their car after it has been charged, to make place for drivers in need of a charge.