Bosch Sees Electrification as Key to Hitting Future Emissions Targets for All Vehicles Above Compact Size
At its 61st Automotive Press Briefing in Boxberg, Germany, Bosch outlined its future automotive technology efforts, while simultaneously providing us with a look at how the various vehicle segments will shape up in the years ahead.
As Bosch sees it, electrification will be absolutely necessary in some vehicle segments, but only somewhat beneficial in others.
Most of today’s electric vehicles slot into the compact and subcompact classes. This, says Bosch, is not what we’ll see in the future.
Bosch says that electrification won’t be required to hit emissions standards in the subcompact class, as advances in engine (both gas and diesel) technology will be more than enough for these vehicles to meet future CO2 standards.
Likewise, Bosch sees most future compact-class vehicles as requiring little in the way of electrification to comply with emissions requirements, as most automakers will opt for diesel here or possibly conventional hybrid setups.
But as we venture into mid-size and full-size vehicles, Bosch says there will be no way to avoid electrification if CO2 requirements are to be met. It’s here, in these two class of vehicles (as well as SUVs and even trucks) that the electric or electrified plug-in powertrain will dominate.
This is all promising news, as we’ve often felt that it’s the large vehicles that would benefit most from full-blown electrification, or at least a plug-in hybrid system. This is where the most impressive overall fuel savings can be made.
Here’s one last tidbit from Bosch’s presentation:
“By 2020, Bosch expects to see new vehicle sales reaching some 110 million units worldwide, with 12 million of them with an electrical powertrain. This latter figure will grow gradually throughout this decade, with the growth curve becoming ever steeper in the next.” (See chart above)